Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain match stats & report
2–4 Full time
Manchester City stats & fixtures · Paris Saint Germain stats & fixtures
Manchester City lost to Paris Saint Germain 2–4 in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2) on 14 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.61–1.85. Manchester City had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Manchester City 58%, the draw 22% and Paris Saint Germain 20%.
Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 2.61 Expected goals (xG) 1.85
- 27 Total shots 15
- 9 Shots on target 10
- 10 Shots off target 3
- 8 Blocked shots 2
- 19 Shots inside the box 7
- 11 Corners 2
- 10 Fouls 11
- 2 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 498 Passes 444
- 6 Goalkeeper saves 6
Goals and cards
- 13' Goal D. Doué (assist Fabián Ruiz) Paris Saint Germain
- 15' Goal O. Dembele (assist D. Doué) Paris Saint Germain
- 32' Goal Vitinha (assist W. Zaïre-Emery) Paris Saint Germain
- 53' Goal E. Haaland (assist I. Ndiaye) Manchester City
- 61' Yellow card A. Semenyo Manchester City
- 62' Goal M. Akliouche (assist O. Dembele) Paris Saint Germain
- 69' Yellow card W. Zaïre-Emery Paris Saint Germain
- 75' Goal E. Haaland (assist A. Bouaddi) Manchester City
- 90' Penalty missed Ferran Torres Paris Saint Germain
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 58%Manchester City fair odds 1.74
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.54
- 20%Paris Saint Germain fair odds 4.89
Most likely score 1-1 (9.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 25.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.23 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score: No | 34% | 2.98 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Manchester City 5.0 · Paris Saint Germain 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Manchester City 1.8 · Paris Saint Germain 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 4.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 10.4
Manchester City 5.4 · Paris Saint Germain 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (214 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 9.5%
- 2–1 9.4%
- 2–0 7.2%
- 3–1 7.1%
- 2–2 6.2%
- 1–2 5.5%
- 3–0 5.4%
- 1–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Manchester City
Bench R. Aït-Nouri , Allan Elias , M. Bettinelli , A. Bouaddi , P. Foden , M. Kovačić , R. Lewis , I. Ndiaye , M. Nunes , N. O'Reilly , G. Rulli , Vitor Nunes
Paris Saint Germain
Bench L. Digne , Pedro Fernández , M. Godts , L. Hernández , K. Kvaratskhelia , Q. Ndjantou , J. Neves , Ferran Torres , I. Zabarnyi , Adam Mouak, Beraldo , L. Chevalier
Out and doubtful
- S. Mayulu Paris Saint Germain Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Longoni Paris Saint Germain Out — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Manchester City at home
8–0–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 7.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Paris Saint Germain away
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
39% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain v Manchester City | 4–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Manchester City vs Paris Saint Germain head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 37% | 2.71 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 39% | 2.56 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home clean sheet | 27% | 3.71 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 42% | 2.36 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 9.49 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.89 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.89 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.31 |