Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction & stats

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 · Chorten Arena, Bialystok

Jagiellonia stats & fixtures · Anderlecht stats & fixtures

Jagiellonia take on Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Jagiellonia favourites at 39%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.08
Over 1.5 goals78%1.28
Over 2.5 goals53%1.90
Over 3.5 goals30%3.28
Over 4.5 goals15%6.67
Under 0.5 goals8%12.94
Under 1.5 goals22%4.58
Under 2.5 goals47%2.11
Under 3.5 goals70%1.44
Under 4.5 goals85%1.18
Both teams to score: Yes58%1.73
Both teams to score: No42%2.38

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.2

Jagiellonia 3.9 · Anderlecht 5.3

Total cornersOverUnder
7.569%31%
8.557%43%
9.544%56%
10.533%67%
11.523%77%

Expected cards: 4.2

Jagiellonia 1.7 · Anderlecht 2.4

Total cardsOverUnder
2.578%22%
3.559%41%
4.540%60%
5.525%75%
6.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 9.7

Jagiellonia 5.0 · Anderlecht 4.7

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.573%27%
8.561%39%
9.549%51%
10.538%62%
11.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (218 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.5%
  2. 2–1 8.7%
  3. 1–2 7.9%
  4. 0–0 7.7%
  5. 1–0 7.5%
  6. 2–0 6.6%
  7. 0–1 6.6%
  8. 2–2 5.8%

Team news & lineups

Jagiellonia

No lineup published yet.

Anderlecht

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Jagiellonia at home

6–0–4 in 10 matches

Scored
2.0 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
3.9 per game
Shots on target
4.9 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Anderlecht away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
4.5 per game
Shots on target
3.6 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 85% 1.18
Away +1.5 handicap 80% 1.24
Home Over 0.5 team goals 77% 1.30
Away Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.36
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.40
Home +0.5 handicap 68% 1.48
Home/Draw double chance 68% 1.48
Draw/Away double chance 61% 1.64
Away +0.5 handicap 61% 1.64
Home Over 1.5 team goals 43% 2.32
Home -0.5 handicap 39% 2.56
Away Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.63
Away -0.5 handicap 32% 3.08
Home clean sheet 27% 3.74
Away clean sheet 23% 4.33
Home -1.5 handicap 20% 5.11
Home Over 2.5 team goals 18% 5.48
Away -1.5 handicap 15% 6.65
Away Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.78