Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction & stats

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3

Lillestrom stats & fixtures · Real Sociedad stats & fixtures

Lillestrom take on Real Sociedad in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Real Sociedad favourites at 58%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 55%.

Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.07
Over 1.5 goals80%1.25
Over 2.5 goals56%1.80
Over 3.5 goals33%3.02
Over 4.5 goals17%5.92
Under 0.5 goals7%14.66
Under 1.5 goals20%4.99
Under 2.5 goals44%2.25
Under 3.5 goals67%1.50
Under 4.5 goals83%1.20
Both teams to score: Yes55%1.83
Both teams to score: No45%2.21

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.7%
  2. 0–2 10.1%
  3. 1–2 9.9%
  4. 0–1 9.2%
  5. 0–0 6.8%
  6. 0–3 6.5%
  7. 1–3 6.4%
  8. 2–1 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Lillestrom

Probable — not confirmed

Real Sociedad

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Lillestrom at home

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
7.4 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Real Sociedad away

4–1–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 10
Corners
5.2 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 93% 1.07
Away Over 0.5 team goals 85% 1.17
Away +0.5 handicap 82% 1.21
Draw/Away double chance 82% 1.21
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.33
Home +1.5 handicap 65% 1.54
Home Over 0.5 team goals 63% 1.60
Away -0.5 handicap 58% 1.73
Away Over 1.5 team goals 57% 1.75
Home +0.5 handicap 42% 2.38
Home/Draw double chance 42% 2.38
Away clean sheet 37% 2.67
Away -1.5 handicap 35% 2.85
Away Over 2.5 team goals 30% 3.31
Home Over 1.5 team goals 26% 3.87
Home -0.5 handicap 18% 5.71
Home clean sheet 15% 6.83
Home Over 2.5 team goals 8% 12.94
Home -1.5 handicap 7% 15.38