Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction & stats

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 · Celtic Park, Glasgow

Celtic stats & fixtures · Celta Vigo stats & fixtures

Celtic take on Celta Vigo in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Celta Vigo favourites at 42%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Celtic vs Celta Vigo prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.07
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals56%1.78
Over 3.5 goals34%2.96
Over 4.5 goals17%5.75
Under 0.5 goals7%14.74
Under 1.5 goals19%5.15
Under 2.5 goals44%2.28
Under 3.5 goals66%1.51
Under 4.5 goals83%1.21
Both teams to score: Yes60%1.66
Both teams to score: No40%2.52

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.6

Celtic 5.4 · Celta Vigo 4.2

Total cornersOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.561%39%
9.548%52%
10.537%63%
11.527%73%

Expected cards: 3.6

Celtic 1.4 · Celta Vigo 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
1.587%13%
2.570%30%
3.549%51%
4.530%70%
5.517%83%

Expected shots on target: 8.9

Celtic 4.3 · Celta Vigo 4.6

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.577%23%
7.565%35%
8.552%48%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (218 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.8%
  2. 1–2 9.1%
  3. 2–1 7.6%
  4. 0–1 7.0%
  5. 0–2 6.8%
  6. 0–0 6.8%
  7. 2–2 6.1%
  8. 1–0 5.6%

Team news & lineups

Celtic

Probable — not confirmed

Celta Vigo

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Celtic at home

6–2–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.9 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
8.4 per game
Shots on target
5.6 per game

11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Celta Vigo away

2–7–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
3.1 per game
Shots on target
2.3 per game

40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 86% 1.16
Away Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.25
Home +1.5 handicap 78% 1.29
Home Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.36
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.38
Draw/Away double chance 70% 1.44
Away +0.5 handicap 70% 1.44
Home/Draw double chance 58% 1.74
Home +0.5 handicap 58% 1.74
Away Over 1.5 team goals 48% 2.10
Away -0.5 handicap 42% 2.36
Home Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.60
Home -0.5 handicap 30% 3.30
Away clean sheet 26% 3.79
Away -1.5 handicap 22% 4.47
Away Over 2.5 team goals 22% 4.59
Home clean sheet 20% 4.97
Home Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.66
Home -1.5 handicap 14% 7.17