Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction & stats
Bournemouth stats & fixtures · AC Milan stats & fixtures
Bournemouth take on AC Milan in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Bournemouth favourites at 58%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 58%.
Bournemouth vs AC Milan prediction
- 58%Bournemouth fair odds 1.72
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.22
- 18%AC Milan fair odds 5.48
Most likely score 1-1 (11.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 17.21 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.79 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.40 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.1%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 2–0 9.3%
- 1–0 7.9%
- 3–1 6.7%
- 3–0 6.2%
- 0–0 5.8%
- 2–2 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Bournemouth
- 15 A. Smith Defender
- 16 M. Tavernier Midfielder
- 14 António Silva Defender
- 12 T. Adams Midfielder
- 1 Đ. Petrović Goalkeeper
- 9 Evanilson Attacker
- 37 Rayan Midfielder
- 5 J. Hill Defender
- 3 A. Truffert Defender
- 8 A. Scott Midfielder
- 10 R. Christie Midfielder
AC Milan
- 31 S. Pavlović Defender
- 16 M. Maignan Goalkeeper
- 12 A. Rabiot Midfielder
- 5 K. De Winter Defender
- 9 Gonçalo Ramos Attacker
- 21 S. Chukwueze Midfielder
- 2 P. Estupiñán Midfielder
- 34 Mario Gila Defender
- 70 A. Cissè Attacker
- 33 D. Bartesaghi Midfielder
- 30 A. Jashari Midfielder
Form guide
Bournemouth at home
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.5 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
AC Milan away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
6% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 42% | 2.38 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.38 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 36% | 2.78 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.44 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.48 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.55 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.64 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.08 |