Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction & stats

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan

Ararat-Armenia stats & fixtures · AZ Alkmaar stats & fixtures

Ararat-Armenia take on AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes AZ Alkmaar favourites at 54%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%.

Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.07
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals36%2.81
Over 4.5 goals19%5.35
Under 0.5 goals6%15.96
Under 1.5 goals18%5.44
Under 2.5 goals42%2.38
Under 3.5 goals64%1.55
Under 4.5 goals81%1.23
Both teams to score: Yes59%1.71
Both teams to score: No41%2.41

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.8%
  2. 1–2 9.9%
  3. 0–2 8.8%
  4. 0–1 8.0%
  5. 0–0 6.3%
  6. 1–3 6.2%
  7. 2–1 5.8%
  8. 0–3 5.6%

Team news & lineups

Ararat-Armenia

No lineup published yet.

AZ Alkmaar

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Ararat-Armenia at home

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
2.5 per game
Shots on target
2.0 per game

30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

AZ Alkmaar away

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
7.2 per game
Shots on target
5.4 per game

36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 92% 1.09
Away Over 0.5 team goals 85% 1.18
Away +0.5 handicap 79% 1.26
Draw/Away double chance 79% 1.26
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.33
Home +1.5 handicap 68% 1.47
Home Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Away Over 1.5 team goals 56% 1.77
Away -0.5 handicap 54% 1.85
Home/Draw double chance 46% 2.18
Home +0.5 handicap 46% 2.18
Away clean sheet 33% 3.06
Away -1.5 handicap 32% 3.11
Home Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.25
Away Over 2.5 team goals 29% 3.39
Home -0.5 handicap 21% 4.80
Home clean sheet 15% 6.65
Home Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.69
Home -1.5 handicap 8% 11.90