Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction & stats

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 · Den Dreef, Heverlee

Union St. Gilloise stats & fixtures · Hapoel Beer Sheva stats & fixtures

Union St. Gilloise take on Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Union St. Gilloise favourites at 72%, with the draw at 21%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 15.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 37%.

Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva prediction

Most likely score 2-0 (15.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals73%1.36
Over 2.5 goals47%2.13
Over 3.5 goals25%3.94
Over 4.5 goals12%8.61
Under 0.5 goals9%11.28
Under 1.5 goals27%3.77
Under 2.5 goals53%1.89
Under 3.5 goals75%1.34
Under 4.5 goals88%1.13
Both teams to score: Yes37%2.71
Both teams to score: No63%1.58

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–0 15.9%
  2. 1–0 14.6%
  3. 3–0 10.7%
  4. 1–1 9.4%
  5. 0–0 8.9%
  6. 2–1 8.5%
  7. 3–1 5.7%
  8. 4–0 5.4%

Team news & lineups

Union St. Gilloise

Probable — not confirmed

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Union St. Gilloise at home

6–4–0 in 10 matches

Scored
2.5 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
6.0 per game
Shots on target
6.0 per game

38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Hapoel Beer Sheva away

3–1–4 in 8 matches

Scored
1.8 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 8
Corners
2.3 per game
Shots on target
4.7 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 98% 1.02
Home/Draw double chance 92% 1.08
Home +0.5 handicap 92% 1.08
Home Over 0.5 team goals 87% 1.15
Home/Away double chance 79% 1.26
Home -0.5 handicap 72% 1.40
Home Over 1.5 team goals 60% 1.67
Home clean sheet 59% 1.70
Away +1.5 handicap 53% 1.88
Home -1.5 handicap 47% 2.13
Away Over 0.5 team goals 41% 2.43
Home Over 2.5 team goals 33% 3.04
Draw/Away double chance 28% 3.52
Away +0.5 handicap 28% 3.52
Away clean sheet 13% 7.56
Away Over 1.5 team goals 10% 10.01
Away -0.5 handicap 8% 13.26
Away -1.5 handicap 2% 54.45
Away Over 2.5 team goals 2% 59.25