Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction & stats

UEFA Europa League · League Stage - 3 · Stadion Poznan

Lech Poznan stats & fixtures · Sunderland stats & fixtures

Lech Poznan take on Sunderland in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 3) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Sunderland favourites at 37%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 57%.

Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.09
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals52%1.93
Over 3.5 goals30%3.36
Over 4.5 goals14%6.90
Under 0.5 goals8%12.58
Under 1.5 goals22%4.47
Under 2.5 goals48%2.08
Under 3.5 goals70%1.42
Under 4.5 goals86%1.17
Both teams to score: Yes57%1.74
Both teams to score: No43%2.35

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.6%
  2. 1–2 8.5%
  3. 2–1 8.1%
  4. 0–0 7.9%
  5. 0–1 7.4%
  6. 1–0 7.0%
  7. 0–2 6.3%
  8. 2–0 5.8%

Team news & lineups

Lech Poznan

Probable — not confirmed

Sunderland

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Lech Poznan at home

7–2–1 in 10 matches

Scored
2.5 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
6 / 10
Corners
6.5 per game
Shots on target
6.9 per game

26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Sunderland away

5–2–3 in 10 matches

Scored
2.3 per game
Conceded
1.7 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.6 per game
Shots on target
5.3 per game

35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Home +1.5 handicap 82% 1.22
Away Over 0.5 team goals 76% 1.32
Home Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.35
Home/Away double chance 71% 1.40
Draw/Away double chance 66% 1.52
Away +0.5 handicap 66% 1.52
Home/Draw double chance 63% 1.59
Home +0.5 handicap 63% 1.59
Away Over 1.5 team goals 41% 2.44
Home Over 1.5 team goals 39% 2.57
Away -0.5 handicap 37% 2.70
Home -0.5 handicap 34% 2.92
Away clean sheet 26% 3.84
Home clean sheet 24% 4.08
Away -1.5 handicap 18% 5.55
Away Over 2.5 team goals 17% 5.95
Home -1.5 handicap 16% 6.20
Home Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.52