Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Jagiellonia stats & fixtures · Ararat-Armenia stats & fixtures
Jagiellonia beat Ararat-Armenia 3–1 in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2) on 15 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.59–0.99. Ararat-Armenia had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Jagiellonia 64%, the draw 22% and Ararat-Armenia 14%.
Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia match statistics
- 42% Ball possession 58%
- 1.59 Expected goals (xG) 0.99
- 13 Total shots 15
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 9 Shots inside the box 7
- 2 Corners 3
- 22 Fouls 14
- 6 Offsides 0
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 388 Passes 524
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 11' Goal Zidane Banjaqui (assist M. Carlier) Ararat-Armenia
- 13' Goal K. Jóźwiak Jagiellonia
- 20' Yellow card T. Romanczuk Jagiellonia
- 30' Yellow card Bruno Wilson Ararat-Armenia
- 38' Goal Rodrigo Conceição (assist A. Klynge) Jagiellonia
- 49' Yellow card Ararat-Armenia
- 51' Goal O. Sow (assist Jesús Imaz) Jagiellonia
- 57' Yellow card A. Tera Ararat-Armenia
- 83' Yellow card D. Stojinović Jagiellonia
- 84' Yellow card Eryk Kozlowski Jagiellonia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 64%Jagiellonia fair odds 1.57
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.46
- 14%Ararat-Armenia fair odds 7.13
Most likely score 2-0 (10.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.43 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.08 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.34 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Jagiellonia 5.4 · Ararat-Armenia 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Jagiellonia 1.6 · Ararat-Armenia 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 10.1
Jagiellonia 6.9 · Ararat-Armenia 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (200 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.9%
- 1–1 10.7%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 1–0 9.2%
- 3–0 7.6%
- 3–1 6.9%
- 0–0 6.2%
- 2–2 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Jagiellonia
Bench J. Agbonifo , A. Ćirković , H. Finndell , A. Konstantopoulos , Sergio Lozano , Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia , M. Perchel , D. Stojinović , Eryk Kozlowski
Ararat-Armenia
Bench A. Ambartsumyan , Z. Shaghoyan , Bruno Pereira , A. Ndour , K. Muradyan , A. Malis , França , A. Eloyan , Bernardo Oliveira Dias, A. Nersesyan
Out and doubtful
- D. Drachal Jagiellonia Out — Off the roster
- D. Rallis Jagiellonia Out — Off the roster
- N. Prelec Jagiellonia Out — Inactive
- N. Wojtuszek Jagiellonia Out — Inactive
- P. Ayongo Ararat-Armenia Out — Off the roster
- C. Polak Jagiellonia Out — Off the roster
- Z. Zalewski Jagiellonia Out — Off the roster
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Jagiellonia at home
6–0–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.9 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Ararat-Armenia away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.74 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 36% | 2.74 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.68 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.11 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.13 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 15.72 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.47 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 41% | 2.45 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 20.46 |