Benfica vs Celtic match stats & report
4–1 Full time
Benfica beat Celtic 4–1 in the UEFA Europa League (League Stage - 2) on 15 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.78–1.31. Benfica had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Benfica 77%, the draw 15% and Celtic 7%.
Benfica vs Celtic match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 2.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.31
- 26 Total shots 14
- 7 Shots on target 7
- 11 Shots off target 5
- 8 Blocked shots 2
- 21 Shots inside the box 12
- 8 Corners 6
- 9 Fouls 7
- 2 Offsides 2
- 3 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 577 Passes 513
- 6 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 5' Penalty scored J. Durán Benfica
- 23' Goal A. Bah (assist G. Prestianni) Benfica
- 36' Goal J. Durán (assist G. Prestianni) Benfica
- 44' Yellow card S. Dahl Benfica
- 63' Goal C. Duran (assist H. Hassan) Celtic
- 69' Yellow card A. Bah Benfica
- 85' Yellow card João Palhinha Benfica
- 89' Goal V. Pavlidis (assist Tomás Araújo) Benfica
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 77%Benfica fair odds 1.29
- 15%Draw fair odds 6.48
- 7%Celtic fair odds 14.02
Most likely score 2-0 (11.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 27% | 3.75 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 25.07 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.57 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Benfica 5.9 · Celtic 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Benfica 1.5 · Celtic 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 10.3
Benfica 7.8 · Celtic 2.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (200 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.5%
- 3–0 10.3%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 3–1 7.8%
- 1–0 7.7%
- 1–1 7.3%
- 4–0 7.0%
- 4–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Benfica
Bench L. Barreiro , A. Cabral , A. Circati , C. Echeverri , S. El Karouani , Tiago Freitas, Gabriel Indio , Manu , V. Pavlidis , Rafa , A. Schjelderup , Samuel Soares
Celtic
Bench J. Forrest , H. Hassan , S. Johnstone , Liam Kennedy, J. Lotomba , L. McCowan , B. Nygren , A. Oxlade-Chamberlain , A. Ralston , L. Scales , L. Clearie , C. Osmand
Out and doubtful
- E. Barrenechea Benfica Out — Injury
- A. Johnston Celtic Out — Leg Injury
- C. Carter-Vickers Celtic Out — Health problems
- Yang Hyun-Jun Celtic Out — Hamstring Injury
- D. Banjaqui Benfica Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Kaminski Benfica Out — Muscle Injury
- C. Duran Celtic Out — Personal Reasons
- C. Osmand Celtic Out — Ankle Injury
- J. van den Berg Celtic Out — Off the roster
- S. Mheuka Celtic Out — Off the roster
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Benfica at home
9–1–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 9.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.6 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Celtic away
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 8.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.4 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 23% | 4.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.43 |
| Away clean sheet | 7% | 14.88 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home clean sheet | 47% | 2.13 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home/Away double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 51% | 1.98 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.68 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 24.07 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 7% | 14.02 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 2% | 46.53 |