Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC prediction & stats

Major League Soccer · USA · Regular Season - 31 · Shell Energy Stadium, Houston

Houston Dynamo stats & fixtures · Minnesota United FC stats & fixtures

Houston Dynamo take on Minnesota United FC in Major League Soccer on 25 October 2026. The Ghost makes Houston Dynamo favourites at 42%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.07
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.75
Over 3.5 goals34%2.91
Over 4.5 goals18%5.60
Under 0.5 goals6%15.46
Under 1.5 goals19%5.25
Under 2.5 goals43%2.33
Under 3.5 goals66%1.52
Under 4.5 goals82%1.22
Both teams to score: Yes61%1.65
Both teams to score: No39%2.53

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.0

Houston Dynamo 5.2 · Minnesota United FC 4.7

Total cornersOverUnder
7.576%24%
8.565%35%
9.553%47%
10.541%59%
11.531%69%

Expected cards: 4.1

Houston Dynamo 1.7 · Minnesota United FC 2.4

Total cardsOverUnder
2.576%24%
3.557%43%
4.538%62%
5.523%77%
6.512%88%

Expected shots on target: 9.3

Houston Dynamo 5.4 · Minnesota United FC 3.9

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.569%31%
8.557%43%
9.545%55%
10.534%66%
11.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (485 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.4%
  2. 2–1 9.2%
  3. 1–2 7.6%
  4. 1–0 7.0%
  5. 2–0 6.8%
  6. 0–0 6.5%
  7. 2–2 5.9%
  8. 0–1 5.6%

Team news & lineups

Houston Dynamo

Probable — not confirmed

Minnesota United FC

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Houston Dynamo at home

6–3–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
3.9 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Minnesota United FC away

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
2.2 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
5.8 per game
Shots on target
5.2 per game

19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo 2–2
Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo 3–1
Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC 2–0
Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC 1–1
Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo 1–2
Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC 0–3

The full Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 85% 1.17
Home Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.25
Away +1.5 handicap 78% 1.29
Away Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.35
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.36
Home +0.5 handicap 69% 1.45
Home/Draw double chance 69% 1.45
Away +0.5 handicap 58% 1.74
Draw/Away double chance 58% 1.74
Home Over 1.5 team goals 48% 2.09
Home -0.5 handicap 42% 2.35
Away Over 1.5 team goals 39% 2.55
Away -0.5 handicap 31% 3.22
Home clean sheet 26% 3.87
Home -1.5 handicap 22% 4.50
Home Over 2.5 team goals 22% 4.57
Away clean sheet 20% 4.99
Away Over 2.5 team goals 16% 6.39
Away -1.5 handicap 15% 6.87