FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction & stats

Major League Soccer · USA · Regular Season - 31 · Toyota Stadium, Frisco

FC Dallas stats & fixtures · San Jose Earthquakes stats & fixtures

FC Dallas take on San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer on 25 October 2026. The Ghost makes FC Dallas favourites at 46%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 10.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 66%.

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (10.7%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals95%1.05
Over 1.5 goals85%1.17
Over 2.5 goals64%1.55
Over 3.5 goals42%2.38
Over 4.5 goals24%4.19
Under 0.5 goals5%20.92
Under 1.5 goals15%6.87
Under 2.5 goals36%2.81
Under 3.5 goals58%1.72
Under 4.5 goals76%1.31
Both teams to score: Yes66%1.52
Both teams to score: No34%2.91

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.7

FC Dallas 4.6 · San Jose Earthquakes 6.1

Total cornersOverUnder
8.572%28%
9.561%39%
10.549%51%
11.538%62%
12.529%71%

Expected cards: 4.0

FC Dallas 1.8 · San Jose Earthquakes 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
1.590%10%
2.575%25%
3.556%44%
4.537%63%
5.522%78%

Expected shots on target: 10.3

FC Dallas 5.4 · San Jose Earthquakes 4.9

Total shots on targetOverUnder
8.568%32%
9.556%44%
10.545%55%
11.534%66%
12.525%75%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (485 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 10.7%
  2. 2–1 9.4%
  3. 1–2 7.2%
  4. 2–0 6.4%
  5. 2–2 6.4%
  6. 3–1 5.7%
  7. 1–0 5.7%
  8. 0–0 4.8%

Team news & lineups

FC Dallas

Probable — not confirmed

San Jose Earthquakes

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

FC Dallas at home

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.6 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
4.2 per game

19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

San Jose Earthquakes away

2–5–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
5.3 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head

DateMatchScore
San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas 2–3
San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas 2–2
FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes 2–4
San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas 3–2
FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes 2–1
FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes 1–1

The full FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 86% 1.16
Home Over 0.5 team goals 84% 1.19
Away Over 0.5 team goals 77% 1.31
Home/Away double chance 76% 1.32
Away +1.5 handicap 74% 1.35
Home +0.5 handicap 71% 1.42
Home/Draw double chance 71% 1.42
Home Over 1.5 team goals 55% 1.81
Away +0.5 handicap 54% 1.87
Draw/Away double chance 54% 1.87
Home -0.5 handicap 46% 2.15
Away Over 1.5 team goals 43% 2.34
Away -0.5 handicap 29% 3.40
Home Over 2.5 team goals 28% 3.53
Home -1.5 handicap 26% 3.84
Home clean sheet 23% 4.27
Away Over 2.5 team goals 18% 5.53
Away clean sheet 16% 6.36
Away -1.5 handicap 14% 7.08