Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction & stats

Major League Soccer · USA · Regular Season - 31 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta

Atlanta United FC stats & fixtures · Chicago Fire stats & fixtures

Atlanta United FC take on Chicago Fire in Major League Soccer on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Chicago Fire favourites at 37%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.07
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals56%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.96
Over 4.5 goals17%5.73
Under 0.5 goals7%15.10
Under 1.5 goals19%5.15
Under 2.5 goals44%2.30
Under 3.5 goals66%1.51
Under 4.5 goals83%1.21
Both teams to score: Yes60%1.65
Both teams to score: No40%2.53

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.1

Atlanta United FC 5.6 · Chicago Fire 4.4

Total cornersOverUnder
8.566%34%
9.554%46%
10.542%58%
11.532%68%
12.523%77%

Expected cards: 3.8

Atlanta United FC 1.8 · Chicago Fire 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.572%28%
3.552%48%
4.533%67%
5.519%81%

Expected shots on target: 9.0

Atlanta United FC 4.6 · Chicago Fire 4.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.577%23%
7.566%34%
8.553%47%
9.541%59%
10.530%70%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (485 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.6%
  2. 1–2 8.6%
  3. 2–1 8.4%
  4. 0–0 6.6%
  5. 0–1 6.5%
  6. 1–0 6.3%
  7. 2–2 6.0%
  8. 0–2 5.9%

Team news & lineups

Atlanta United FC

Probable — not confirmed

Chicago Fire

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Atlanta United FC at home

3–1–6 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 10
Corners
5.3 per game
Shots on target
4.3 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Chicago Fire away

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.8 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.2 per game
Shots on target
5.3 per game

7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC 1–0
Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire 2–2
Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC 2–1
Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC 0–0
Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire 3–0
Chicago Fire v Atlanta United FC 3–3

The full Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 82% 1.21
Home +1.5 handicap 81% 1.23
Away Over 0.5 team goals 77% 1.29
Home Over 0.5 team goals 77% 1.31
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.37
Away +0.5 handicap 64% 1.56
Draw/Away double chance 64% 1.56
Home +0.5 handicap 63% 1.59
Home/Draw double chance 63% 1.59
Away Over 1.5 team goals 44% 2.29
Home Over 1.5 team goals 43% 2.34
Away -0.5 handicap 37% 2.68
Home -0.5 handicap 36% 2.78
Away clean sheet 23% 4.27
Home clean sheet 23% 4.40
Away Over 2.5 team goals 19% 5.34
Away -1.5 handicap 19% 5.40
Home Over 2.5 team goals 18% 5.54
Home -1.5 handicap 18% 5.67