Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction & stats

Major League Soccer · USA · Regular Season - 31 · Subaru Park, Philadelphia

Philadelphia Union stats & fixtures · New England Revolution stats & fixtures

Philadelphia Union take on New England Revolution in Major League Soccer on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Philadelphia Union favourites at 61%, with the draw at 21%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 10.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 63%.

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution prediction

Most likely score 2-1 (10.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals96%1.04
Over 1.5 goals86%1.16
Over 2.5 goals66%1.51
Over 3.5 goals44%2.28
Over 4.5 goals26%3.92
Under 0.5 goals4%23.44
Under 1.5 goals14%7.36
Under 2.5 goals34%2.96
Under 3.5 goals56%1.78
Under 4.5 goals74%1.34
Both teams to score: Yes63%1.58
Both teams to score: No37%2.71

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.5

Philadelphia Union 7.2 · New England Revolution 3.2

Total cornersOverUnder
8.570%30%
9.559%41%
10.547%53%
11.536%64%
12.527%73%

Expected cards: 4.0

Philadelphia Union 1.8 · New England Revolution 2.1

Total cardsOverUnder
1.590%10%
2.575%25%
3.556%44%
4.537%63%
5.522%78%

Expected shots on target: 10.0

Philadelphia Union 6.5 · New England Revolution 3.5

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.575%25%
8.564%36%
9.553%47%
10.541%59%
11.531%69%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (485 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–1 10.3%
  2. 1–1 9.5%
  3. 2–0 8.4%
  4. 3–1 7.3%
  5. 1–0 6.6%
  6. 3–0 6.0%
  7. 2–2 5.5%
  8. 1–2 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Philadelphia Union

Probable — not confirmed

New England Revolution

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Philadelphia Union at home

7–3–0 in 10 matches

Scored
2.5 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
6.5 per game
Shots on target
6.5 per game

16% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

New England Revolution away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.9 per game
Shots on target
5.7 per game

24% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution head-to-head

DateMatchScore
New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union 2–1
Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution 1–0
New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union 0–2
Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution 5–1
New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union 0–3
New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union 0–0

The full Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 92% 1.08
Home Over 0.5 team goals 89% 1.12
Home/Draw double chance 82% 1.22
Home +0.5 handicap 82% 1.22
Home/Away double chance 79% 1.27
Away Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.44
Home Over 1.5 team goals 65% 1.53
Away +1.5 handicap 62% 1.61
Home -0.5 handicap 61% 1.65
Draw/Away double chance 39% 2.54
Away +0.5 handicap 39% 2.54
Home -1.5 handicap 38% 2.63
Home Over 2.5 team goals 38% 2.63
Away Over 1.5 team goals 33% 3.00
Home clean sheet 30% 3.29
Away -0.5 handicap 18% 5.47
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.43
Away clean sheet 11% 9.30
Away -1.5 handicap 8% 13.01