Orlando City SC vs New York City FC prediction & stats

Major League Soccer · USA · Regular Season - 31 · Exploria Stadium, Orlando

Orlando City SC stats & fixtures · New York City FC stats & fixtures

Orlando City SC take on New York City FC in Major League Soccer on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Orlando City SC favourites at 45%, with the draw at 23%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 9.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 69%.

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (9.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals96%1.04
Over 1.5 goals88%1.14
Over 2.5 goals68%1.46
Over 3.5 goals46%2.15
Over 4.5 goals28%3.61
Under 0.5 goals4%24.99
Under 1.5 goals12%8.13
Under 2.5 goals32%3.16
Under 3.5 goals54%1.87
Under 4.5 goals72%1.38
Both teams to score: Yes69%1.45
Both teams to score: No31%3.22

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.0

Orlando City SC 5.0 · New York City FC 4.9

Total cornersOverUnder
7.575%25%
8.564%36%
9.553%47%
10.541%59%
11.531%69%

Expected cards: 4.2

Orlando City SC 2.3 · New York City FC 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
2.577%23%
3.559%41%
4.540%60%
5.524%76%
6.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 10.9

Orlando City SC 5.3 · New York City FC 5.6

Total shots on targetOverUnder
8.574%26%
9.563%37%
10.552%48%
11.541%59%
12.531%69%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (485 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 9.9%
  2. 2–1 9.0%
  3. 1–2 7.4%
  4. 2–2 6.7%
  5. 3–1 5.6%
  6. 2–0 5.5%
  7. 1–0 4.6%
  8. 3–2 4.6%

Team news & lineups

Orlando City SC

Probable — not confirmed

New York City FC

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Orlando City SC at home

7–2–1 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
3.9 per game
Shots on target
5.3 per game

29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

New York City FC away

2–4–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
3.0 per game
Shots on target
4.6 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC head-to-head

DateMatchScore
New York City FC v Orlando City SC 5–0
Orlando City SC v New York City FC 1–2
New York City FC v Orlando City SC 2–1
Orlando City SC v New York City FC 1–1
New York City FC v Orlando City SC 4–2
New York City FC v Orlando City SC 2–0

The full Orlando City SC vs New York City FC head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home Over 0.5 team goals 85% 1.17
Home +1.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Away Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.25
Home/Away double chance 77% 1.30
Away +1.5 handicap 75% 1.34
Home +0.5 handicap 68% 1.47
Home/Draw double chance 68% 1.47
Home Over 1.5 team goals 57% 1.75
Draw/Away double chance 55% 1.81
Away +0.5 handicap 55% 1.81
Away Over 1.5 team goals 48% 2.10
Home -0.5 handicap 45% 2.23
Away -0.5 handicap 32% 3.13
Home Over 2.5 team goals 30% 3.34
Home -1.5 handicap 25% 3.96
Away Over 2.5 team goals 22% 4.58
Home clean sheet 20% 4.95
Away -1.5 handicap 16% 6.20
Away clean sheet 15% 6.72