Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami match stats & report
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Atlanta United FC stats & fixtures · Inter Miami stats & fixtures
Atlanta United FC lost to Inter Miami 1–3 in Major League Soccer on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.36–1.85. Inter Miami had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atlanta United FC 34%, the draw 24% and Inter Miami 43%.
Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami match statistics
- 44% Ball possession 56%
- 2.36 Expected goals (xG) 1.85
- 20 Total shots 7
- 3 Shots on target 5
- 10 Shots off target 1
- 7 Blocked shots 1
- 10 Shots inside the box 5
- 5 Corners 2
- 8 Fouls 11
- 0 Offsides 3
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 433 Passes 565
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 44' Yellow card T. Jacob Atlanta United FC
- 45' Goal G. Berterame (assist L. Suarez) Inter Miami
- 54' Yellow card M. Amaro Atlanta United FC
- 56' Goal L. Messi (assist G. Berterame) Inter Miami
- 60' Goal L. Messi (assist L. Suarez) Inter Miami
- 71' Yellow card B. Embolo Atlanta United FC
- 89' Yellow card M. Falcon Inter Miami
- 89' Penalty scored F. Picault Atlanta United FC
- 90+6' Yellow card L. Messi Inter Miami
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 34%Atlanta United FC fair odds 2.97
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.22
- 43%Inter Miami fair odds 2.35
Most likely score 1-1 (10.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 27% | 3.76 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 23.66 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.05 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 68% | 1.46 |
| Both teams to score: No | 32% | 3.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Atlanta United FC 5.0 · Inter Miami 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Atlanta United FC 1.9 · Inter Miami 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
Atlanta United FC 4.7 · Inter Miami 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (471 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.2%
- 1–2 8.8%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 2–2 6.7%
- 0–2 5.4%
- 1–3 5.3%
- 0–1 4.7%
- 2–3 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Atlanta United FC
Bench S. Alzate , L. Brennan , M. Edwards , A. Fortune , Jayden Hibbert , E. Mihaj , F. Picault , C. Sanchez , Sergio Santos
Inter Miami
Bench M. Falcon , I. Fray , S. Morales , F. Mura , Daniel Pinter , R. Ríos Novo , Riquelme Fillipi , T. Segovia , A. Shaw
Out and doubtful
- W. Reilly Atlanta United FC Out — Ankle Injury
- M. Silvetti Inter Miami Out — Injury
- T. Allende Inter Miami Out — Knee Injury
- Y. Bright Inter Miami Out — Foot Injury
- D. Chica Atlanta United FC Out — Knee Injury
- F. Caicedo Inter Miami Out — Lower-Body Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Atlanta United FC at home
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Inter Miami away
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC | 2–2 | |
| Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC | 4–0 | |
| Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami | 1–2 | |
| Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC | 2–3 | |
| Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami | 2–1 | |
| Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC | 2–1 |
The full Atlanta United FC vs Inter Miami head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.21 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.97 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.82 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 57% | 1.74 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 5.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.48 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.35 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.26 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.59 |