New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC match stats & report
0–2 Full time
New York Red Bulls stats & fixtures · Toronto FC stats & fixtures
New York Red Bulls lost to Toronto FC 0–2 in Major League Soccer on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.01–0.66. New York Red Bulls had 68% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave New York Red Bulls 59%, the draw 22% and Toronto FC 19%.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC match statistics
- 68% Ball possession 32%
- 1.01 Expected goals (xG) 0.66
- 15 Total shots 6
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 8 Shots off target 1
- 3 Blocked shots 1
- 11 Shots inside the box 2
- 7 Corners 1
- 14 Fouls 15
- 3 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 517 Passes 249
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 3' Own goal J. Che Toronto FC
- 52' Yellow card Z. Monlouis Toronto FC
- 67' Yellow card L. Morgan Toronto FC
- 82' Goal D. Sallói (assist J. Osorio) Toronto FC
- 87' Yellow card D. Etienne Toronto FC
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 59%New York Red Bulls fair odds 1.69
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.60
- 19%Toronto FC fair odds 5.23
Most likely score 2-1 (10.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.08 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 22.26 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.05 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.69 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.8
New York Red Bulls 6.7 · Toronto FC 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.6
New York Red Bulls 1.9 · Toronto FC 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 10.6
New York Red Bulls 6.1 · Toronto FC 4.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (471 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.3%
- 1–1 9.8%
- 2–0 8.3%
- 3–1 7.2%
- 1–0 6.7%
- 3–0 5.8%
- 2–2 5.6%
- 1–2 5.3%
Team news & lineups
New York Red Bulls
Bench J. Ruvalcaba , E. M. Choupo-Moting , E. Forsberg , S. Kone , J. Marshall-Rutty , J. McCarthy , Pedro Castro, T. Parker , M. Dos Santos
Toronto FC
Bench W. Yarbrough , A. Piedrahita , J. Gilman , D. Etienne , R. Chukwu , Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga , D. Sallói , Alonso Coello , R. Edwards
Out and doubtful
- B. Kuscevic Toronto FC Out — Yellow Cards
- R. Laryea Toronto FC Out — Yellow Cards
- W. Zimmerman Toronto FC Out — Ankle Injury
- A. Marcucci New York Red Bulls Out — Knee Injury
- N. Palacio Toronto FC Out — Lower-Body Injury
- R. Donkor New York Red Bulls Doubtful — Leg Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
New York Red Bulls at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Toronto FC away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls | 1–1 | |
| Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls | 1–1 | |
| New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC | 2–1 | |
| Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls | 1–4 | |
| New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC | 3–0 | |
| New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC | 3–0 |
The full New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.30 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 8.74 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 37% | 2.73 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 41% | 2.45 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.23 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.37 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.35 |