Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Minnesota United FC stats & fixtures · St. Louis City stats & fixtures
Minnesota United FC beat St. Louis City 3–2 in Major League Soccer on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.67–1.23. St. Louis City had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Minnesota United FC 37%, the draw 24% and St. Louis City 39%.
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City match statistics
- 45% Ball possession 55%
- 2.67 Expected goals (xG) 1.23
- 27 Total shots 15
- 11 Shots on target 6
- 8 Shots off target 5
- 8 Blocked shots 4
- 19 Shots inside the box 11
- 6 Corners 7
- 14 Fouls 15
- 0 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 338 Passes 419
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 4' Goal Rafael Navarro St. Louis City
- 10' Goal S. Jeong (assist Rafael Navarro) St. Louis City
- 24' Yellow card A. Jackson Minnesota United FC
- 26' Yellow card M. Perez St. Louis City
- 49' Goal A. Jackson (assist K. Yeboah) Minnesota United FC
- 51' Yellow card S. Jeong St. Louis City
- 68' Goal K. Yeboah (assist M. Gonzalez) Minnesota United FC
- 86' Goal Marcus Caldeira (assist J. Pereyra) Minnesota United FC
- 90' Yellow card J. Diaz Minnesota United FC
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 37%Minnesota United FC fair odds 2.72
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.10
- 39%St. Louis City fair odds 2.57
Most likely score 1-1 (10.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.58 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.12 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: No | 33% | 3.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.2
Minnesota United FC 5.6 · St. Louis City 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Minnesota United FC 2.0 · St. Louis City 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Minnesota United FC 4.5 · St. Louis City 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (471 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.7%
- 1–2 8.5%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 2–2 6.6%
- 0–2 5.2%
- 2–0 4.9%
- 0–1 4.8%
- 1–3 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Minnesota United FC
Bench N. Romero , Kayne Rizvanovich , J. Pereyra , M. Malone , O. Gene , K. Duncan , T. Chancalay , Marcus Caldeira , M. Boxall
St. Louis City
Bench Rafael Santos , C. Brunet , D. Downs , D. Edelman , C. Holse , B. Lundt , L. MacNaughton , A. Matan , T. Ostrak
Out and doubtful
- A. Markanich Minnesota United FC Out — Concussion
- A. Smir Minnesota United FC Out — Knee Injury
- P. Stroud Minnesota United FC Out — Muscle Injury
- Celio Pompeu St. Louis City Out — Knee Injury
- C. Wallem St. Louis City Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Minnesota United FC at home
1–5–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
St. Louis City away
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC | 4–2 | |
| St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC | 1–2 | |
| Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City | 3–0 | |
| Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City | 4–1 | |
| St. Louis City v Minnesota United FC | 1–3 | |
| Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City | 1–2 |
The full Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.58 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.87 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.72 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.34 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.44 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.24 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.18 |