San Diego vs Houston Dynamo match stats & report
3–3 Full time
San Diego stats & fixtures · Houston Dynamo stats & fixtures
San Diego drew with Houston Dynamo 3–3 in Major League Soccer on 15 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.57–0.93. San Diego had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave San Diego 40%, the draw 27% and Houston Dynamo 33%.
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo match statistics
- 62% Ball possession 38%
- 2.57 Expected goals (xG) 0.93
- 17 Total shots 10
- 6 Shots on target 3
- 7 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 3
- 9 Shots inside the box 8
- 10 Corners 3
- 15 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 663 Passes 426
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 4' Yellow card L. Ennali Houston Dynamo
- 19' Yellow card J. Bond Houston Dynamo
- 20' Penalty scored A. Dreyer San Diego
- 22' Goal C. Bakambu (assist O. Valakari) San Diego
- 24' Goal Guilherme (assist L. Ennali) Houston Dynamo
- 33' Goal M. Bogusz (assist Guilherme) Houston Dynamo
- 37' Goal Guilherme Houston Dynamo
- 44' Yellow card Guilherme Houston Dynamo
- 53' Yellow card Kieran Sargeant San Diego
- 77' Yellow card A. Dreyer San Diego
- 79' Yellow card A. Godoy San Diego
- 86' Goal Gabriel Pirani San Diego
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 40%San Diego fair odds 2.53
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.65
- 33%Houston Dynamo fair odds 3.03
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.31 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.85 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.77 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.42 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.5
San Diego 5.9 · Houston Dynamo 3.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.6
San Diego 2.3 · Houston Dynamo 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 9.1
San Diego 4.3 · Houston Dynamo 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (456 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 2–1 8.9%
- 1–2 8.0%
- 1–0 7.3%
- 0–0 7.2%
- 2–0 6.6%
- 0–1 6.4%
- 2–2 5.7%
Team news & lineups
San Diego
Bench Gabriel Pirani , A. Godoy , M. Ingvartsen , David Mimbang, I. Pilcher , P. Sisniega , O. Verhoeven , B. B. Zamble , A. Pellegrino
Houston Dynamo
Bench M. Arana , N. Markanich , B. Gillingham , D. Holmes , D. McGuire , A. Resch , D. Samassékou , I. Aliyu , M. Saracchi
Out and doubtful
- Felipe Andrade Houston Dynamo Out — Injury
- J. Maurer Houston Dynamo Out — Concussion
- O. Soe San Diego Out — Lower-Body Injury
- A. Resch Houston Dynamo Doubtful — Lower-Body Injury
- L. Ennali Houston Dynamo Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
San Diego at home
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 2.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Houston Dynamo away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo v San Diego | 1–0 | |
| Houston Dynamo v San Diego | 2–4 | |
| San Diego v Houston Dynamo | 3–4 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -0.5 handicap | 33% | 3.03 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.43 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.44 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.56 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.46 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.53 |
| Home clean sheet | 26% | 3.84 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.29 |