Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City match stats & report
4–0 Full time
Nashville SC stats & fixtures · Sporting Kansas City stats & fixtures
Nashville SC beat Sporting Kansas City 4–0 in Major League Soccer on 15 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.81–0.49. Sporting Kansas City had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Nashville SC 78%, the draw 14% and Sporting Kansas City 8%.
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 3.81 Expected goals (xG) 0.49
- 18 Total shots 8
- 11 Shots on target 1
- 2 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 2
- 16 Shots inside the box 6
- 7 Corners 4
- 14 Fouls 10
- 1 Offsides 2
- 0 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 376 Passes 386
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 6
Goals and cards
- 10' Goal H. Mukhtar (assist A. Najar) Nashville SC
- 17' Goal S. Surridge (assist H. Mukhtar) Nashville SC
- 29' Goal A. Najar (assist C. Espinoza) Nashville SC
- 90+5' Penalty scored W. Madrigal Nashville SC
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 78%Nashville SC fair odds 1.28
- 14%Draw fair odds 7.12
- 8%Sporting Kansas City fair odds 13.03
Most likely score 2-0 (10.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.03 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 34.83 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 10% | 9.52 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 28% | 3.61 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.74 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.34 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Nashville SC 6.6 · Sporting Kansas City 3.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Nashville SC 1.7 · Sporting Kansas City 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.9
Nashville SC 6.6 · Sporting Kansas City 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (456 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.0%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 3–0 9.0%
- 3–1 8.6%
- 1–0 6.4%
- 1–1 6.3%
- 4–0 6.2%
- 4–1 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Nashville SC
Bench P. Yazbek , B. Acosta , J. Bauer , D. Lovitz , W. Madrigal , J. Maher , S. Mohammed , A. Muyl , J. Willis
Sporting Kansas City
Bench E. Bartlow , J. Bartlett , S. Afrifa , J. Pulskamp , Capita , J. Davis , C. Harris , E. Karić , T. Calheira
Out and doubtful
- Capita Sporting Kansas City Out — Hamstring Injury
- O. Blorian Sporting Kansas City Out — Chest Injury
- F. Camara Nashville SC Out — Lower-Body Injury
- O. Presthus Nashville SC Out — Lower-Body Injury
- Diego Borges Sporting Kansas City Out — Groin Injury
- J. Reynolds Sporting Kansas City Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Johnsen Sporting Kansas City Out — Hamstring Injury
- M. Mosquera Sporting Kansas City Out — Hamstring Injury
- O. Wolff Sporting Kansas City Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Davis Sporting Kansas City Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Nashville SC at home
10–0–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 6.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sporting Kansas City away
2–0–8 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 2.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.5 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City | 2–1 | |
| Sporting Kansas City v Nashville SC | 0–3 | |
| Nashville SC v Sporting Kansas City | 1–2 | |
| Sporting Kansas City v Nashville SC | 1–2 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 43% | 2.34 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.08 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 22% | 4.61 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.39 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.49 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.61 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 15.97 |
| Away clean sheet | 5% | 18.62 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 37.63 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 13.03 |