Inter Miami vs New York City FC match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Inter Miami stats & fixtures · New York City FC stats & fixtures
Inter Miami beat New York City FC 2–0 in Major League Soccer on 14 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.31–1.53. Inter Miami had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Inter Miami 56%, the draw 21% and New York City FC 22%.
Inter Miami vs New York City FC match statistics
- 57% Ball possession 43%
- 2.31 Expected goals (xG) 1.53
- 14 Total shots 14
- 6 Shots on target 5
- 4 Shots off target 3
- 4 Blocked shots 6
- 10 Shots inside the box 4
- 3 Corners 5
- 14 Fouls 8
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 661 Passes 486
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 20' Goal G. Berterame (assist L. Suarez) Inter Miami
- 45+5' Goal R. de Paul (assist L. Messi) Inter Miami
- 52' Yellow card M. Galarza Inter Miami
- 85' Yellow card Riquelme Fillipi Inter Miami
- 90+7' Penalty missed N. Mercau New York City FC
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 56%Inter Miami fair odds 1.78
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.68
- 22%New York City FC fair odds 4.45
Most likely score 2-1 (9.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 3.42 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 27.32 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.32 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score: No | 32% | 3.10 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.5
Inter Miami 6.0 · New York City FC 3.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 4.7
Inter Miami 2.7 · New York City FC 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 10.3
Inter Miami 6.3 · New York City FC 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (456 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 9.8%
- 1–1 9.0%
- 3–1 7.0%
- 2–0 6.9%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 1–2 5.7%
- 1–0 5.2%
- 3–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Inter Miami
Bench M. Falcon , I. Fray , Daniel Pinter , R. Ríos Novo , Riquelme Fillipi , T. Segovia , A. Shaw , F. Caicedo , S. Morales
New York City FC
Bench M. Jones , H. Wolf , M. Miazga , K. O'Toole , Raul Gustavo , T. Romero , J. Shore , Talles Magno , Luighi Hanri
Out and doubtful
- F. Mura Inter Miami Out — Ankle Injury
- M. Silvetti Inter Miami Out — Injury
- T. Allende Inter Miami Out — Knee Injury
- Y. Bright Inter Miami Out — Foot Injury
- K. Parks New York City FC Out — Leg Injury
- M. Moralez New York City FC Out — Knee Injury
- A. Farnos New York City FC Out — Leg Injury
- D. Baiera New York City FC Out — Knee Injury
- K. Trewin New York City FC Out — Ankle Injury
- M. Ilenic New York City FC Out — Illness
- Talles Magno New York City FC Out — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Inter Miami at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.9 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
New York City FC away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Inter Miami vs New York City FC head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| New York City FC v Inter Miami | 2–3 | |
| Inter Miami v New York City FC | 5–1 | |
| New York City FC v Inter Miami | 0–4 | |
| Inter Miami v New York City FC | 2–2 | |
| New York City FC v Inter Miami | 1–1 | |
| Inter Miami v New York City FC | 1–1 |
The full Inter Miami vs New York City FC head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.12 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 40% | 2.49 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.28 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 44% | 2.28 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 9.18 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.72 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.88 |
| Home clean sheet | 25% | 3.99 |