DC United vs New York Red Bulls match stats & report
2–1 Full time
DC United stats & fixtures · New York Red Bulls stats & fixtures
DC United beat New York Red Bulls 2–1 in Major League Soccer on 14 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.31–2.78. New York Red Bulls had 74% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave DC United 41%, the draw 25% and New York Red Bulls 35%.
DC United vs New York Red Bulls match statistics
- 26% Ball possession 74%
- 1.31 Expected goals (xG) 2.78
- 4 Total shots 24
- 3 Shots on target 6
- 1 Shots off target 13
- 0 Blocked shots 5
- 4 Shots inside the box 23
- 3 Corners 11
- 9 Fouls 12
- 3 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 1 Red cards 0
- 199 Passes 611
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 5' Penalty scored T. Baribo DC United
- 19' Yellow card D. Padelford New York Red Bulls
- 22' Yellow card L. Bartlett DC United
- 29' Yellow card J. Hopkins DC United
- 45+5' Goal S. Hefti (assist T. Baribo) DC United
- 67' Yellow card D. Nealis New York Red Bulls
- 68' Red card L. Bartlett DC United
- 71' Goal E. M. Choupo-Moting (assist E. Forsberg) New York Red Bulls
- 73' Yellow card R. Donkor New York Red Bulls
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 41%DC United fair odds 2.46
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.06
- 35%New York Red Bulls fair odds 2.89
Most likely score 1-1 (10.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.24 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.57 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score: No | 34% | 2.94 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
DC United 5.5 · New York Red Bulls 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.9
DC United 1.8 · New York Red Bulls 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 10.5
DC United 5.8 · New York Red Bulls 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (456 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.9%
- 2–1 8.8%
- 1–2 8.0%
- 2–2 6.5%
- 2–0 5.6%
- 1–0 5.2%
- 3–1 5.0%
- 0–0 4.9%
Team news & lineups
DC United
Bench J. Stroud , M. Peltola , N. Ordaz , S. Nealis , A. Bono , Peglow , Nikola Markovic , Gavin Turner , K. Castillo
New York Red Bulls
Bench C. Faello , M. Dos Santos , E. M. Choupo-Moting , E. Forsberg , C. Harper , S. Kone , J. Marshall-Rutty , J. McCarthy , R. Mosquera
Out and doubtful
- H. Kijima DC United Out — Leg Injury
- L. Munteanu DC United Out — Leg Injury
- G. Segal DC United Out — Leg Injury
- A. Marcucci New York Red Bulls Out — Knee Injury
- D. Padelford New York Red Bulls Doubtful — Concussion
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
DC United at home
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
DC United vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| New York Red Bulls v DC United | 4–4 | |
| DC United v New York Red Bulls | 0–2 | |
| New York Red Bulls v DC United | 1–2 | |
| New York Red Bulls v DC United | 1–1 | |
| New York Red Bulls v DC United | 2–2 | |
| DC United v New York Red Bulls | 1–4 |
The full DC United vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 59% | 1.69 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home clean sheet | 21% | 4.81 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.54 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.46 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.71 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.89 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.95 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.60 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.74 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 4.04 |