Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC match stats & report

3–3 Full time

Major League Soccer · USA · Regular Season - 29 · BMO Field, Toronto, Ontario · Ref Armando Villarreal

Toronto FC stats & fixtures · Orlando City SC stats & fixtures

Toronto FC drew with Orlando City SC 3–3 in Major League Soccer on 14 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.84–2.30. Orlando City SC had 63% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Toronto FC 45%, the draw 23% and Orlando City SC 32%.

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC match statistics

Toronto FCOrlando City SC

37% Ball possession 63%
2.84 Expected goals (xG) 2.30
16 Total shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
13 Shots inside the box 13
5 Corners 5
17 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
281 Passes 490
1 Goalkeeper saves 4

Goals and cards

26' Goal L. Morgan (assist T. Corbeanu) Toronto FC
45+1' Penalty scored M. Ojeda Orlando City SC
49' Goal T. Corbeanu (assist D. Sallói) Toronto FC
66' Yellow card Alonso Coello Toronto FC
75' Yellow card B. Kuscevic Toronto FC
76' Goal A. Griezmann (assist Iago Teodoro) Orlando City SC
82' Yellow card Vinicius Nogueira Orlando City SC
83' Goal D. Dike (assist I. Angulo) Orlando City SC
85' Yellow card Toronto FC
89' Goal Matheus Pereira Toronto FC
90+4' Yellow card R. Laryea Toronto FC

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

45%Toronto FC fair odds 2.21
23%Draw fair odds 4.33
32%Orlando City SC fair odds 3.17

Most likely score 1-1 (9.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96%	1.04
Over 1.5 goals	88%	1.14
Over 2.5 goals	69%	1.45
Over 3.5 goals	47%	2.13
Over 4.5 goals	28%	3.55
Under 0.5 goals	4%	25.50
Under 1.5 goals	12%	8.29
Under 2.5 goals	31%	3.21
Under 3.5 goals	53%	1.89
Under 4.5 goals	72%	1.39
Both teams to score: Yes	69%	1.45
Both teams to score: No	31%	3.25

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.6

Toronto FC 6.2 · Orlando City SC 4.4

Total corners	Over	Under
8.5	71%	29%
9.5	60%	40%
10.5	48%	52%
11.5	38%	62%
12.5	28%	72%

Expected cards: 4.1

Toronto FC 1.7 · Orlando City SC 2.3

Total cards	Over	Under
2.5	76%	24%
3.5	57%	43%
4.5	38%	62%
5.5	23%	77%
6.5	12%	88%

Expected shots on target: 11.2

Toronto FC 6.3 · Orlando City SC 5.0

Total shots on target	Over	Under
9.5	67%	33%
10.5	56%	44%
11.5	45%	55%
12.5	35%	65%
13.5	26%	74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (456 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

1–1 9.8%
2–1 9.0%
1–2 7.3%
2–2 6.7%
3–1 5.7%
2–0 5.6%
3–2 4.6%
1–0 4.6%

Team news & lineups

Toronto FC

Confirmed 4-4-2 R. Fraser

1 L. Gavran

3 Matheus Pereira 13 B. Kuscevic 12 Z. Monlouis 22 R. Laryea

20 D. Sallói 6 N. Dorsch 14 Alonso Coello 7 T. Corbeanu

90 L. Morgan 9 J. Sargent

Bench Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga , R. Chukwu , M. Cimermancic , D. Etienne , K. Franklin , J. Gilman , D. Mihailovic , A. Piedrahita , W. Yarbrough

Orlando City SC

Confirmed 4-4-2 M. Perelman

71 M. Crepeau

27 Vinicius Nogueira 57 Iago Teodoro 4 D. Brekalo 20 E. Atuesta

23 Harvey Sarajian 16 W. Cartagena 5 Luis Otavio 77 I. Angulo

10 M. Ojeda 7 A. Griezmann

Bench N. Miller , B. Ojeda , Javier Otero , B. Rhein , Z. Taifi , Tiago , J. Gerbet , D. Dike , A. Marin

Out and doubtful

M. Pasalic Orlando City SC Out — Yellow Cards
T. Spicer Orlando City SC Out — Foot Injury
J. Osorio Toronto FC Out — Yellow Cards
W. Zimmerman Toronto FC Out — Ankle Injury
G. Dorsey Orlando City SC Out — Back Injury
N. Palacio Toronto FC Out — Lower-Body Injury
B. Ojeda Orlando City SC Doubtful — Foot Injury
L. Gavran Toronto FC Doubtful — Leg Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Toronto FC at home

3–5–2 in 10 matches

Scored: 2.1 per game
Conceded: 2.1 per game
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Corners: 5.5 per game
Shots on target: 4.9 per game

43% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Orlando City SC away

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored: 2.5 per game
Conceded: 3.0 per game
Clean sheets: 1 / 10
Corners: 4.1 per game
Shots on target: 5.7 per game

36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC head-to-head

Date	Match	Score
12 Sep 26	Orlando City SC v Toronto FC	3–0
18 Oct 25	Toronto FC v Orlando City SC	4–2
2 Mar 25	Orlando City SC v Toronto FC	4–2
3 Jul 24	Toronto FC v Orlando City SC	1–2
27 Apr 24	Orlando City SC v Toronto FC	1–2
21 Oct 23	Toronto FC v Orlando City SC	0–2

The full Toronto FC vs Orlando City SC head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Home clean sheet	20%	4.95
Home -0.5 handicap	45%	2.21
Home -1.5 handicap	26%	3.89
Home +0.5 handicap	68%	1.46
Home/Draw double chance	68%	1.46
Home Over 2.5 team goals	31%	3.27
Home +1.5 handicap	84%	1.19
Home/Away double chance	77%	1.30
Home Over 1.5 team goals	58%	1.73
Home Over 0.5 team goals	85%	1.17
Away Over 0.5 team goals	80%	1.25
Away +1.5 handicap	74%	1.35
Away +0.5 handicap	55%	1.83
Away -0.5 handicap	32%	3.17
Away Over 1.5 team goals	48%	2.10
Draw/Away double chance	55%	1.83
Away clean sheet	15%	6.88
Away Over 2.5 team goals	22%	4.58
Away -1.5 handicap	16%	6.29