Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Minnesota United FC stats & fixtures · Houston Dynamo stats & fixtures
Minnesota United FC drew with Houston Dynamo 2–2 in Major League Soccer on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.23–1.69. Houston Dynamo had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Minnesota United FC 44%, the draw 27% and Houston Dynamo 29%.
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo match statistics
- 46% Ball possession 54%
- 1.23 Expected goals (xG) 1.69
- 15 Total shots 15
- 6 Shots on target 6
- 7 Shots off target 7
- 2 Blocked shots 2
- 10 Shots inside the box 12
- 2 Corners 5
- 16 Fouls 4
- 0 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 437 Passes 513
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 18' Goal L. Foster Houston Dynamo
- 48' Goal K. Yeboah (assist M. Duggan) Minnesota United FC
- 66' Yellow card M. Gonzalez Minnesota United FC
- 78' Goal Marcus Caldeira (assist Cherrion Valerius) Minnesota United FC
- 82' Yellow card W. Trapp Minnesota United FC
- 90+2' Goal D. McGuire (assist N. Markanich) Houston Dynamo
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Minnesota United FC fair odds 2.27
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.67
- 29%Houston Dynamo fair odds 3.48
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.53 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.49 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.64 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.35 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Minnesota United FC 6.0 · Houston Dynamo 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Minnesota United FC 2.3 · Houston Dynamo 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
Minnesota United FC 4.3 · Houston Dynamo 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (446 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 2–1 9.4%
- 1–0 8.2%
- 2–0 7.5%
- 0–0 7.4%
- 1–2 7.2%
- 0–1 6.0%
- 2–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Minnesota United FC
Bench N. Triantis , K. Duncan , M. Gonzalez , C. Harvey , M. Malone , Kayne Rizvanovich , N. Romero , D. Taylor , Marcus Caldeira
Houston Dynamo
Bench M. Arana , I. Aliyu , N. Markanich , B. Gillingham , D. Holmes , D. McGuire , F. Negri , G. Rivera
Out and doubtful
- A. Resch Houston Dynamo Out — Lower-Body Injury
- J. Diaz Minnesota United FC Out — Yellow Cards
- J. Pereyra Minnesota United FC Out — Muscle Injury
- H. Herrera Houston Dynamo Out — Red Card
- J. Maurer Houston Dynamo Out — Concussion
- A. Smir Minnesota United FC Out — Knee Injury
- P. Stroud Minnesota United FC Out — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Minnesota United FC at home
1–5–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Houston Dynamo away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo | 3–1 | |
| Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC | 2–0 | |
| Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC | 1–1 | |
| Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo | 1–2 | |
| Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United FC | 0–3 | |
| Minnesota United FC v Houston Dynamo | 1–0 |
The full Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.48 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.79 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.85 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.82 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.44 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.80 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.81 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.27 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.15 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.38 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.72 |