Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati match stats & report
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Atlanta United FC stats & fixtures · FC Cincinnati stats & fixtures
Atlanta United FC lost to FC Cincinnati 1–3 in Major League Soccer on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.14–1.91. Atlanta United FC had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atlanta United FC 49%, the draw 23% and FC Cincinnati 27%.
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati match statistics
- 56% Ball possession 44%
- 1.14 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
- 16 Total shots 13
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 3 Shots off target 7
- 7 Blocked shots 2
- 10 Shots inside the box 11
- 5 Corners 4
- 8 Fouls 14
- 7 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 516 Passes 401
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 2' Yellow card T. Hadebe FC Cincinnati
- 43' Yellow card T. Jacob Atlanta United FC
- 52' Goal K. Denkey (assist T. Barlow) FC Cincinnati
- 69' Goal M. Almirón (assist B. Embolo) Atlanta United FC
- 84' Goal T. Barlow (assist K. Smith) FC Cincinnati
- 88' Yellow card J. Malatini FC Cincinnati
- 90+4' Yellow card T. Barlow FC Cincinnati
- 90+4' Yellow card M. Amaro Atlanta United FC
- 90+7' Goal K. Denkey (assist E. Echenique) FC Cincinnati
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 49%Atlanta United FC fair odds 2.02
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.31
- 27%FC Cincinnati fair odds 3.65
Most likely score 1-1 (10.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 23.32 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.57 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams to score: No | 33% | 3.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Atlanta United FC 5.8 · FC Cincinnati 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Atlanta United FC 1.8 · FC Cincinnati 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 9.6
Atlanta United FC 5.2 · FC Cincinnati 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (446 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.1%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 1–2 6.7%
- 2–0 6.5%
- 2–2 6.4%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 1–0 5.4%
- 3–2 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Atlanta United FC
Bench L. Brennan , C. Sanchez , P. Diaz , A. Miranchuk , F. Picault , Adrian Gill , Jayden Hibbert , Sergio Santos , M. Edwards
FC Cincinnati
Bench B. J. Ramirez Leon , G. Valenzuela , A. Powell , K. Mboma Dem , J. Malatini , N. Hagglund , T. Anunga , R. Celentano , E. Echenique
Out and doubtful
- W. Reilly Atlanta United FC Out — Ankle Injury
- Evander FC Cincinnati Out — Leg Injury
- D. Chica Atlanta United FC Out — Knee Injury
- E. Echenique FC Cincinnati Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Atlanta United FC at home
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
FC Cincinnati away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 2.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati v Atlanta United FC | 2–0 | |
| Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati | 4–2 | |
| FC Cincinnati v Atlanta United FC | 2–2 | |
| Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati | 2–2 | |
| FC Cincinnati v Atlanta United FC | 1–0 | |
| Atlanta United FC v FC Cincinnati | 1–2 |
The full Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.02 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.49 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.26 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 32% | 3.16 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 51% | 1.98 |
| Away clean sheet | 14% | 7.20 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.35 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.65 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.67 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.55 |