New York Red Bulls vs San Diego match stats & report
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New York Red Bulls stats & fixtures · San Diego stats & fixtures
New York Red Bulls beat San Diego 4–1 in Major League Soccer on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.08–2.11. San Diego had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave New York Red Bulls 40%, the draw 24% and San Diego 35%.
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego match statistics
- 36% Ball possession 64%
- 3.08 Expected goals (xG) 2.11
- 28 Total shots 14
- 12 Shots on target 5
- 9 Shots off target 8
- 7 Blocked shots 1
- 20 Shots inside the box 12
- 4 Corners 7
- 20 Fouls 14
- 0 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 342 Passes 576
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 8
Goals and cards
- 15' Goal J. Hall (assist J. Ruvalcaba) New York Red Bulls
- 20' Goal D. Padelford (assist C. Cowell) New York Red Bulls
- 27' Goal J. Ruvalcaba (assist R. Donkor) New York Red Bulls
- 30' Yellow card J. Tverskov San Diego
- 42' Yellow card J. Bazán New York Red Bulls
- 44' Penalty missed A. Dreyer San Diego
- 55' Yellow card M. Duah San Diego
- 60' Goal C. Bakambu (assist A. Dreyer) San Diego
- 82' Yellow card D. Padelford New York Red Bulls
- 85' Yellow card Kieran Sargeant San Diego
- 90+3' Goal E. M. Choupo-Moting (assist M. Dos Santos) New York Red Bulls
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 40%New York Red Bulls fair odds 2.49
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.10
- 35%San Diego fair odds 2.82
Most likely score 1-1 (10.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 4.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.51 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 67% | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score: No | 33% | 3.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
New York Red Bulls 5.3 · San Diego 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 4.1
New York Red Bulls 2.1 · San Diego 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 9.9
New York Red Bulls 5.4 · San Diego 4.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (446 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.7%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 1–2 8.1%
- 2–2 6.6%
- 2–0 5.4%
- 3–1 5.0%
- 1–0 4.9%
- 0–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
New York Red Bulls
Bench D. Ruiz , Pedro Castro, E. M. Choupo-Moting , E. Forsberg , S. Kone , J. Marshall-Rutty , J. McCarthy , T. Parker , M. Dos Santos
San Diego
Bench A. Pellegrino , P. Sisniega , D. Þórhallsson , O. Valakari , C. McVey , C. Bakambu , A. Alvarado Jr , David Evra Mimbang Nyangono, B. B. Zamble
Out and doubtful
- A. Marcucci New York Red Bulls Out — Knee Injury
- O. Soe San Diego Out — Lower-Body Injury
- C. Harper New York Red Bulls Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- J. Che New York Red Bulls Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- J. Marshall-Rutty New York Red Bulls Doubtful — Hamstring Injury
- A. Pellegrino San Diego Doubtful — Lower-Body Injury
- Gabriel Pirani San Diego Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- S. Vines San Diego Doubtful — Lower-Body Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
New York Red Bulls at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
San Diego away
1–4–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
New York Red Bulls vs San Diego head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| San Diego v New York Red Bulls | 6–0 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full New York Red Bulls vs San Diego head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 5.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.49 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.60 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.65 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.82 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.99 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.51 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.51 |