Chicago Fire vs New York City FC match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Chicago Fire stats & fixtures · New York City FC stats & fixtures
Chicago Fire beat New York City FC 2–1 in Major League Soccer on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.46–1.46. New York City FC had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Chicago Fire 53%, the draw 25% and New York City FC 23%.
Chicago Fire vs New York City FC match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 1.46 Expected goals (xG) 1.46
- 14 Total shots 12
- 4 Shots on target 6
- 6 Shots off target 4
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 9 Shots inside the box 6
- 4 Corners 4
- 18 Fouls 10
- 4 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 1 Red cards 0
- 377 Passes 418
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 19' Goal H. Wolf (assist A. Ojeda) New York City FC
- 20' Yellow card D. D'Avilla Chicago Fire
- 43' Red card D. D'Avilla Chicago Fire
- 55' Goal A. Saletros (assist M. Haile-Selassie) Chicago Fire
- 64' Yellow card M. Mbokazi Chicago Fire
- 87' Goal M. Haile-Selassie Chicago Fire
- 90+4' Yellow card M. Pineda Chicago Fire
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 53%Chicago Fire fair odds 1.90
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.04
- 23%New York City FC fair odds 4.42
Most likely score 1-1 (11.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.38 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.46 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Chicago Fire 5.7 · New York City FC 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Chicago Fire 2.3 · New York City FC 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.2
Chicago Fire 5.5 · New York City FC 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (446 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.6%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 1–0 8.0%
- 0–0 6.1%
- 3–1 6.1%
- 1–2 6.1%
- 2–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Chicago Fire
Bench N. Allen , J. Cohen , P. Dithejane , J. Gómez , A. Hanche-Olsen , S. Oregel , M. Pineda , D. Poręba , A. Gutman
New York City FC
Bench M. Miazga , Maxwell Murray , K. O'Toole , Raul Gustavo , T. Romero , J. Shore , B. Traoré , Luighi Hanri , M. Jones
Out and doubtful
- R. Lod Chicago Fire Out — Lower-Body Injury
- K. Parks New York City FC Out — Injury
- M. Moralez New York City FC Out — Knee Injury
- A. Franco Chicago Fire Out — Knee Injury
- A. Mekvabishvili Chicago Fire Out — Lower-Body Injury
- S. Rogers Chicago Fire Out — Lower-Body Injury
- A. Farnos New York City FC Out — Injury
- D. Baiera New York City FC Out — Knee Injury
- K. Trewin New York City FC Out — Ankle Injury
- M. Ilenic New York City FC Out — Illness
- Talles Magno New York City FC Out — Muscle Injury
- R. Turdean Chicago Fire Doubtful — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Chicago Fire at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
New York City FC away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Chicago Fire vs New York City FC head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| New York City FC v Chicago Fire | 3–1 | |
| Chicago Fire v New York City FC | 1–3 | |
| New York City FC v Chicago Fire | 3–1 | |
| New York City FC v Chicago Fire | 2–2 | |
| Chicago Fire v New York City FC | 0–0 | |
| New York City FC v Chicago Fire | 1–0 |
The full Chicago Fire vs New York City FC head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.37 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.33 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.21 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.57 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.11 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.07 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.42 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.40 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 8.73 |