Valencia vs Villarreal prediction & stats
Valencia stats & fixtures · Villarreal stats & fixtures
Valencia take on Villarreal in La Liga on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Villarreal favourites at 39%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Valencia vs Villarreal prediction
- 32%Valencia fair odds 3.14
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.40
- 39%Villarreal fair odds 2.58
Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.93 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.79 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Valencia 5.6 · Villarreal 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Valencia 2.1 · Villarreal 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 7.9
Valencia 3.6 · Villarreal 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 7.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 8.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 9.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (382 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.1%
- 0–0 9.3%
- 0–1 9.0%
- 1–2 8.6%
- 1–0 7.7%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 0–2 7.1%
- 2–0 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Valencia
- 1 S. Dimitrievski Goalkeeper
- 18 Pepelu Defender
- 8 Javi Guerra Attacker
- 14 José Gayà Defender
- 24 P. Maffeo Defender
- 12 J. De Haas Defender
- 9 Hugo Duro Attacker
- 2 G. Rodriguez Midfielder
- 7 A. Danjuma Midfielder
- 23 F. Ugrinic Midfielder
- 19 Dani Raba Midfielder
Villarreal
- 10 Alberto Moleiro Midfielder
- 14 S. Comesana Midfielder
- 25 P. Gulacsi Goalkeeper
- 22 Ayoze Pérez Attacker
- 11 Ilias Akhomach Midfielder
- 3 A. Freeman Defender
- 23 Sergi Cardona Defender
- 6 Pau Navarro Defender
- 12 Renato Veiga Defender
- 18 P. Gueye Midfielder
- 8 J. Foyth Midfielder
Form guide
Valencia at home
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Villarreal away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Valencia vs Villarreal head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal v Valencia | 2–1 | |
| Valencia v Villarreal | 0–2 | |
| Villarreal v Valencia | 1–1 | |
| Valencia v Villarreal | 1–1 | |
| Villarreal v Valencia | 1–0 | |
| Valencia v Villarreal | 3–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.63 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.58 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.94 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.14 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.34 |
| Home clean sheet | 26% | 3.86 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.40 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.46 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.10 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.17 |