Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction & stats

La Liga · Spain · Regular Season - 10 · Riyadh Air Metropolitano, Madrid

Atletico Madrid stats & fixtures · Deportivo La Coruna stats & fixtures

Atletico Madrid take on Deportivo La Coruna in La Liga on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Atletico Madrid favourites at 62%, with the draw at 23%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 11.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction

Most likely score 2-0 (11.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.07
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals55%1.83
Over 3.5 goals32%3.14
Over 4.5 goals16%6.24
Under 0.5 goals7%14.73
Under 1.5 goals21%4.78
Under 2.5 goals45%2.20
Under 3.5 goals68%1.47
Under 4.5 goals84%1.19
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.92
Both teams to score: No48%2.09

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.5

Atletico Madrid 6.9 · Deportivo La Coruna 3.6

Total cornersOverUnder
8.570%30%
9.559%41%
10.547%53%
11.536%64%
12.527%73%

Expected cards: 4.2

Atletico Madrid 2.1 · Deportivo La Coruna 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
2.578%22%
3.560%40%
4.541%59%
5.525%75%
6.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 9.6

Atletico Madrid 6.5 · Deportivo La Coruna 3.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.561%39%
9.548%52%
10.537%63%
11.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (382 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–0 11.3%
  2. 1–1 11.0%
  3. 2–1 10.5%
  4. 1–0 10.5%
  5. 3–0 7.2%
  6. 0–0 6.8%
  7. 3–1 6.7%
  8. 2–2 4.3%

Team news & lineups

Atletico Madrid

Probable — not confirmed

Deportivo La Coruna

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Atletico Madrid at home

7–2–1 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
5.8 per game
Shots on target
5.6 per game

29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Deportivo La Coruna away

4–5–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

47% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 95% 1.06
Home Over 0.5 team goals 86% 1.16
Home +0.5 handicap 85% 1.17
Home/Draw double chance 85% 1.17
Home/Away double chance 77% 1.30
Home -0.5 handicap 62% 1.60
Away +1.5 handicap 62% 1.61
Home Over 1.5 team goals 59% 1.70
Away Over 0.5 team goals 59% 1.70
Home clean sheet 41% 2.44
Home -1.5 handicap 38% 2.65
Draw/Away double chance 38% 2.66
Away +0.5 handicap 38% 2.66
Home Over 2.5 team goals 31% 3.20
Away Over 1.5 team goals 22% 4.49
Away -0.5 handicap 15% 6.86
Away clean sheet 14% 7.37
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 16.30
Away -1.5 handicap 5% 19.14