Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction & stats
Real Madrid stats & fixtures · Sevilla stats & fixtures
Real Madrid take on Sevilla in La Liga on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Real Madrid favourites at 74%, with the draw at 17%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 12.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla prediction
- 74%Real Madrid fair odds 1.35
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.78
- 8%Sevilla fair odds 11.82
Most likely score 2-0 (12.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.69 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.82 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.02 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Real Madrid 6.2 · Sevilla 3.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 5.1
Real Madrid 1.9 · Sevilla 3.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 6.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 7.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.6
Real Madrid 6.9 · Sevilla 2.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (382 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 12.4%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 1–0 9.6%
- 3–0 9.6%
- 1–1 8.2%
- 3–1 7.8%
- 4–0 5.5%
- 0–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Real Madrid
- 1 T. Courtois Goalkeeper
- 16 I. Konaté Defender
- 8 F. Valverde Midfielder
- 10 Kylian Mbappé Attacker
- 5 J. Bellingham Midfielder
- 14 A. Tchouameni Midfielder
- 25 Y. Diomande Midfielder
- 17 Marc Cucurella Defender
- 22 A. Rüdiger Defender
- 24 D. Dumfries Defender
- 15 A. Guler Midfielder
Sevilla
No lineup published yet.
Out and doubtful
- Eder Militao Real Madrid Out — Hamstring Injury
- R. Asencio Real Madrid Out — Broken Leg
- Rodrygo Real Madrid Out — Knee Injury
- Vinicius Junior Real Madrid Out — Red Card
- I. Munoz Sevilla Out — Injury
- I. Romero Sevilla Out — Red Card
- J. Guridi Sevilla Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Stassin Sevilla Out — Muscle Injury
- M. Sierra Sevilla Out — Shoulder Injury
- Marcao Sevilla Out — Muscle Injury
- F. Mendy Real Madrid Doubtful — Hip Injury
- G. Kochorashvili Sevilla Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Real Madrid at home
9–1–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.1 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sevilla away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sevilla v Real Madrid | 0–1 | |
| Real Madrid v Sevilla | 2–0 | |
| Sevilla v Real Madrid | 0–2 | |
| Real Madrid v Sevilla | 4–2 | |
| Real Madrid v Sevilla | 1–0 | |
| Sevilla v Real Madrid | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 26% | 3.88 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.88 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away clean sheet | 8% | 11.92 |
| Home clean sheet | 46% | 2.18 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.54 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 51% | 1.97 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 23.15 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 97% | 1.03 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 8% | 11.82 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 3% | 36.61 |