Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction & stats
Celta Vigo stats & fixtures · Alaves stats & fixtures
Celta Vigo take on Alaves in La Liga on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Celta Vigo favourites at 43%, with the draw at 30%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves prediction
- 43%Celta Vigo fair odds 2.31
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.33
- 27%Alaves fair odds 3.74
Most likely score 1-1 (14.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.46 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 10.20 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.56 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.00 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Celta Vigo 4.8 · Alaves 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 9.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 10.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Celta Vigo 1.9 · Alaves 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 8.3
Celta Vigo 4.7 · Alaves 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (382 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.3%
- 1–0 10.8%
- 0–0 10.5%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 0–1 7.6%
- 1–2 6.6%
- 0–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Celta Vigo
- 13 I. Radu Goalkeeper
- 9 Ferran Jutglà Attacker
- 6 I. Moriba Midfielder
- 18 Yoel Lago Defender
- 3 M. Alonso Defender
- 17 Javi Rueda Midfielder
- 23 Hugo Álvarez Midfielder
- 14 A. Febas Midfielder
- 5 Sergio Carreira Midfielder
- 15 Álvaro Núñez Defender
- 19 W. Swedberg Attacker
Alaves
- 21 A. Rebbach Defender
- 15 L. Boyé Attacker
- 19 Pablo Ibáñez Midfielder
- 1 Sivera Goalkeeper
- 14 N. Tenaglia Defender
- 17 Jonny Defender
- 8 Antonio Blanco Midfielder
- 2 N. Valentini Defender
- 16 V. Koski Defender
- 4 Denis Suárez Midfielder
- 11 T. Martinez Attacker
Out and doubtful
- A. Perez Alaves Out — Red Card
- F. Garces Alaves Out — Suspended
- C. Starfelt Celta Vigo Out — Muscle Injury
- J. El Abdellaoui Celta Vigo Out — Knee Injury
- M. Rodriguez Alaves Out — Ankle Injury
- B. Iglesias Celta Vigo Out — Calf Injury
- M. Roman Celta Vigo Out — Knee Injury
- P. Duran Celta Vigo Out — Calf Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Celta Vigo at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Alaves away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Celta Vigo vs Alaves head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo v Alaves | 3–4 | |
| Alaves v Celta Vigo | 0–1 | |
| Alaves v Celta Vigo | 1–1 | |
| Celta Vigo v Alaves | 2–1 | |
| Alaves v Celta Vigo | 3–0 | |
| Celta Vigo v Alaves | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 57% | 1.76 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.83 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.74 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.76 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Away clean sheet | 25% | 3.97 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.58 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.25 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.26 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.27 |