Real Madrid vs Villarreal match stats & report
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Real Madrid stats & fixtures · Villarreal stats & fixtures
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1–0 in La Liga on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.99–0.64. Villarreal had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Real Madrid 64%, the draw 20% and Villarreal 16%.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal match statistics
- 46% Ball possession 54%
- 0.99 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
- 11 Total shots 15
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 4 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 9 Shots inside the box 7
- 9 Corners 3
- 8 Fouls 13
- 3 Offsides 1
- 5 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 0
- 406 Passes 475
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 10' Yellow card Renato Veiga Villarreal
- 19' Yellow card J. Bellingham Real Madrid
- 62' Goal Y. Diomande (assist F. Valverde) Real Madrid
- 68' Yellow card Real Madrid
- 72' Red card Vinicius Junior Real Madrid
- 81' Yellow card I. Konaté Real Madrid
- 83' Yellow card A. Rüdiger Real Madrid
- 84' Yellow card Pau Navarro Villarreal
- 87' Yellow card A. Tchouameni Real Madrid
- 90+4' Yellow card Kylian Mbappé Real Madrid
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 64%Real Madrid fair odds 1.55
- 20%Draw fair odds 5.06
- 16%Villarreal fair odds 6.33
Most likely score 2-1 (10.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 27% | 3.68 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 25.67 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.69 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.2
Real Madrid 7.0 · Villarreal 3.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Real Madrid 2.0 · Villarreal 2.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
Real Madrid 6.7 · Villarreal 3.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (370 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.3%
- 1–1 8.8%
- 2–0 8.6%
- 3–1 7.8%
- 3–0 6.5%
- 1–0 6.5%
- 2–2 5.2%
- 3–2 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Real Madrid
Bench E. Camavinga , Marc Cucurella , D. Dumfries , Carlos Espí , A. Lunin , Sergio Mestre , Endrick , B. Silva , Vinicius Junior , T. Pitarch , Brahim Díaz
Villarreal
Bench S. Mouriño , Gerard Moreno , G. Mikautadze , C. Macia , Joselillo Gaitán, N. El Jmili , A. Diatta , Logan Costa , T. Oluwaseyi , Luíz Júnior , C. Romero , N. Saliba
Out and doubtful
- D. Huijsen Real Madrid Out — Red Card
- Eder Militao Real Madrid Out — Hamstring Injury
- F. Mendy Real Madrid Out — Hip Injury
- T. Buchanan Villarreal Out — Muscle Injury
- R. Asencio Real Madrid Out — Broken Leg
- Rodrygo Real Madrid Out — Knee Injury
- F. Valverde Real Madrid Doubtful — Ankle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Real Madrid at home
9–1–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 8.1 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Villarreal away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Real Madrid vs Villarreal head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal v Real Madrid | 0–2 | |
| Real Madrid v Villarreal | 3–1 | |
| Villarreal v Real Madrid | 1–2 | |
| Real Madrid v Villarreal | 2–0 | |
| Villarreal v Real Madrid | 4–4 | |
| Real Madrid v Villarreal | 4–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 9% | 10.75 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.81 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 36% | 2.81 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.33 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.14 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.55 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.23 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.38 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 15.55 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 42% | 2.40 |