Alaves vs Atletico Madrid match stats & report
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Alaves stats & fixtures · Atletico Madrid stats & fixtures
Alaves lost to Atletico Madrid 1–2 in La Liga on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.13–2.18. Atletico Madrid had 68% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Alaves 35%, the draw 29% and Atletico Madrid 36%.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid match statistics
- 32% Ball possession 68%
- 1.13 Expected goals (xG) 2.18
- 8 Total shots 22
- 3 Shots on target 7
- 3 Shots off target 4
- 2 Blocked shots 11
- 5 Shots inside the box 11
- 0 Corners 10
- 11 Fouls 14
- 1 Offsides 2
- 0 Yellow cards 3
- 1 Red cards 0
- 341 Passes 709
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 33' Goal Álex Grimaldo (assist J. David) Atletico Madrid
- 45' Yellow card A. Lookman Atletico Madrid
- 45+1' Yellow card R. Le Normand Atletico Madrid
- 45+6' Penalty scored L. Boyé Alaves
- 61' Red card A. Perez Alaves
- 87' Goal C. Romero (assist Álex Baena) Atletico Madrid
- 90+2' Yellow card J. Cardoso Atletico Madrid
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 35%Alaves fair odds 2.85
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.49
- 36%Atletico Madrid fair odds 2.76
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 11.86 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.25 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Alaves 4.6 · Atletico Madrid 5.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Alaves 2.1 · Atletico Madrid 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.8
Alaves 4.4 · Atletico Madrid 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (370 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 0–0 8.4%
- 1–2 8.4%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 0–1 7.8%
- 1–0 7.7%
- 0–2 6.3%
- 2–0 6.1%
Team news & lineups
Alaves
Bench Yusi , Selu Diallo , Carles Aleñá , M. Díaz , Guevara , V. Koski , A. Manas , Hugo Novoa , X. Olaiz , C. Benavídez , A. Giménez , Miguel Rodríguez
Atletico Madrid
Bench A. Sorloth , Marc Pubill , A. Ortiz , J. Musso , Lee Kang-In , M. Hjulmand , D. Hancko , J. Dominguez , J. Castillo , Álex Baena , J. Alvarez , Dani MartÃnez
Out and doubtful
- F. Garces Alaves Out — Suspended
- V. Koski Alaves Out — Muscle Injury
- O. Vargas Atletico Madrid Out — Inactive
- M. Rodriguez Alaves Out — Ankle Injury
- R. Mendoza Atletico Madrid Out — Inactive
- A. Sorloth Atletico Madrid Doubtful — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Alaves at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atletico Madrid away
5–0–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Alaves vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid v Alaves | 1–0 | |
| Alaves v Atletico Madrid | 1–1 | |
| Alaves v Atletico Madrid | 0–0 | |
| Atletico Madrid v Alaves | 2–1 | |
| Alaves v Atletico Madrid | 2–0 | |
| Atletico Madrid v Alaves | 2–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.09 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.85 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.75 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home clean sheet | 26% | 3.83 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.20 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.74 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.76 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.85 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.52 |