Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction & stats
Estrela take on Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Estrela favourites at 47%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Estrela vs Casa Pia prediction
- 47%Estrela fair odds 2.12
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.58
- 25%Casa Pia fair odds 4.01
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.68 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.80 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.70 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.09 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.16 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Estrela 4.8 · Casa Pia 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 5.1
Estrela 2.3 · Casa Pia 2.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 5.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 6.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 7.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 7.6
Estrela 4.4 · Casa Pia 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (306 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 1–0 9.8%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 2–0 8.7%
- 0–0 8.5%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 0–1 6.1%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Estrela
No lineup published yet.
Casa Pia
- 43 David Sousa Defender
- 16 Silvi Midfielder
- 80 L. Ofori Midfielder
- 18 Geraldes Defender
- 70 João Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo Midfielder
- 75 Pedro Rosas Defender
- 3 Kaly Defender
- 9 Henrique Araújo Attacker
- 11 M. El Boukammiri Midfielder
- 95 Ivan Mandić Goalkeeper
- 77 B. Pauwels Midfielder
Form guide
Estrela at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Casa Pia away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Estrela vs Casa Pia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Estrela v Casa Pia | 1–2 | |
| Estrela v Casa Pia | 4–0 | |
| Casa Pia v Estrela | 3–5 | |
| Casa Pia v Estrela | 1–0 | |
| Estrela v Casa Pia | 0–1 | |
| Estrela v Casa Pia | 3–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.96 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.38 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.01 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.06 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.76 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.90 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.74 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.27 |