Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction & stats

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Regular Season - 10 · Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Utrecht stats & fixtures · PEC Zwolle stats & fixtures

Utrecht take on PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Utrecht favourites at 63%, with the draw at 21%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 10.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 61%.

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Most likely score 2-1 (10.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals96%1.05
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals65%1.54
Over 3.5 goals42%2.36
Over 4.5 goals24%4.13
Under 0.5 goals4%22.24
Under 1.5 goals14%6.94
Under 2.5 goals35%2.84
Under 3.5 goals58%1.74
Under 4.5 goals76%1.32
Both teams to score: Yes61%1.64
Both teams to score: No39%2.56

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.3

Utrecht 6.5 · PEC Zwolle 3.7

Total cornersOverUnder
8.568%32%
9.556%44%
10.545%55%
11.534%66%
12.525%75%

Expected cards: 3.2

Utrecht 1.4 · PEC Zwolle 1.8

Total cardsOverUnder
1.582%18%
2.562%38%
3.540%60%
4.523%77%
5.511%89%

Expected shots on target: 10.6

Utrecht 6.7 · PEC Zwolle 3.9

Total shots on targetOverUnder
8.571%29%
9.560%40%
10.549%51%
11.538%62%
12.528%72%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (312 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–1 10.4%
  2. 1–1 9.5%
  3. 2–0 9.1%
  4. 3–1 7.5%
  5. 1–0 7.2%
  6. 3–0 6.5%
  7. 2–2 5.2%
  8. 1–2 4.7%

Team news & lineups

Utrecht

Probable — not confirmed

PEC Zwolle

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Utrecht at home

4–1–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
2.2 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.7 per game
Shots on target
4.7 per game

21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

PEC Zwolle away

1–3–6 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
2.7 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.4 per game
Shots on target
3.9 per game

40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle 1–1
PEC Zwolle v Utrecht 0–2
PEC Zwolle v Utrecht 3–3
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle 1–0
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle 5–1
PEC Zwolle v Utrecht 1–0

The full Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 93% 1.07
Home Over 0.5 team goals 89% 1.12
Home +0.5 handicap 84% 1.20
Home/Draw double chance 84% 1.20
Home/Away double chance 79% 1.26
Away Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Home Over 1.5 team goals 66% 1.52
Home -0.5 handicap 63% 1.59
Away +1.5 handicap 60% 1.66
Home -1.5 handicap 40% 2.51
Home Over 2.5 team goals 38% 2.61
Away +0.5 handicap 37% 2.69
Draw/Away double chance 37% 2.69
Home clean sheet 33% 3.03
Away Over 1.5 team goals 30% 3.31
Away -0.5 handicap 16% 6.10
Away clean sheet 11% 9.48
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.90
Away -1.5 handicap 7% 15.15