NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction & stats
NEC Nijmegen stats & fixtures · Fortuna Sittard stats & fixtures
NEC Nijmegen take on Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes NEC Nijmegen favourites at 60%, with the draw at 21%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 10.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams scoring at 64%.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard prediction
- 60%NEC Nijmegen fair odds 1.67
- 21%Draw fair odds 4.71
- 19%Fortuna Sittard fair odds 5.27
Most likely score 2-1 (10.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 24.02 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.02 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score: No | 36% | 2.77 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
NEC Nijmegen 7.5 · Fortuna Sittard 3.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.4
NEC Nijmegen 1.3 · Fortuna Sittard 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 10.9
NEC Nijmegen 6.8 · Fortuna Sittard 4.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 11.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 12.5 | 31% | 69% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (312 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.2%
- 1–1 9.4%
- 2–0 8.1%
- 3–1 7.3%
- 1–0 6.3%
- 3–0 5.8%
- 2–2 5.6%
- 1–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
NEC Nijmegen
- 6 D. Nejasmic Midfielder
- 9 T. Chery Attacker
- 20 N. Lebreton Midfielder
- 10 D. Tadic Attacker
- 30 B. Linssen Attacker
- 73 Gabriel Brás Defender
- 4 P. Schuurs Defender
- 34 Kevin Kers Midfielder
- 21 T. Storm Defender
- 1 G. Crettaz Goalkeeper
- 24 D. Fonville Defender
Fortuna Sittard
- 12 Ivo Pinto Defender
- 23 P. Brittijn Midfielder
- 22 Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand Midfielder
- 31 M. Branderhorst Goalkeeper
- 3 Rodrigo Guth Defender
- 28 Justin Quincy Hubner Defender
- 20 É. Michut Midfielder
- 52 M. Ihattaren Attacker
- 9 A. Descotte Attacker
- 25 L. Zeefuik Attacker
- 8 J. Dahlhaus Defender
Out and doubtful
- B. Nuytinck NEC Nijmegen Out — Ankle Injury
- P. Sandler NEC Nijmegen Out — Injury
- I. Marquez Fortuna Sittard Out — Injury
- R. Bayram Fortuna Sittard Out — Knee Injury
- Y. Oukili Fortuna Sittard Out — Groin Injury
- E. Mor NEC Nijmegen Out — Groin Injury
- J. Dahlhaus Fortuna Sittard Doubtful — Inactive
- A. Thomas NEC Nijmegen Doubtful — Inactive
- D. Tadic NEC Nijmegen Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
NEC Nijmegen at home
1–4–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.1 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Sittard away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard | 2–3 | |
| Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen | 3–2 | |
| NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard | 4–1 | |
| Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen | 0–3 | |
| Fortuna Sittard v NEC Nijmegen | 1–1 | |
| NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard | 4–1 |
The full NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 37% | 2.67 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.90 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 63% | 1.60 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.49 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 40% | 2.49 |
| Away clean sheet | 11% | 9.27 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.27 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.95 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.34 |