Groningen vs Ajax prediction & stats
Groningen take on Ajax in the Eredivisie on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Ajax favourites at 41%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 10.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 66%.
Groningen vs Ajax prediction
- 35%Groningen fair odds 2.87
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.08
- 41%Ajax fair odds 2.46
Most likely score 1-1 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.15 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.04 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 6.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.51 |
| Both teams to score: No | 34% | 2.98 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
Groningen 5.8 · Ajax 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.3
Groningen 1.5 · Ajax 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 10.3
Groningen 5.1 · Ajax 5.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (312 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.8%
- 1–2 8.8%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 2–2 6.5%
- 0–2 5.5%
- 0–1 5.1%
- 1–3 5.0%
- 0–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Groningen
- 26 T. van Bergen Midfielder
- 17 D. van der Werff Midfielder
- 14 J. Schreuders Defender
- 9 B. Willumsson Attacker
- 1 E. Vaessen Goalkeeper
- 3 T. Blokzijl Defender
- 8 T. de Jonge Midfielder
- 24 P. Clement Midfielder
- 4 M. Csinger Defender
- 5 M. Rente Defender
- 11 J. Ondrejka Midfielder
Ajax
No lineup published yet.
Out and doubtful
- Caio Henrique Ajax Out — Thigh Injury
- D. Blind Ajax Out — Back Injury
- K. Dolberg Ajax Out — Knee Injury
- S. Berghuis Ajax Out — Injury
- T. Hernes Groningen Out — Injury
- T. Mercera Groningen Out — Injury
- A. Gaaei Ajax Out — Injury
- E. van der Laan Groningen Out — Injury
- M. Jeng Groningen Out — Leg Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Groningen at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
6% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Ajax away
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.4 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Groningen vs Ajax head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax v Groningen | 2–0 | |
| Groningen v Ajax | 3–1 | |
| Ajax v Groningen | 2–0 | |
| Groningen v Ajax | 2–2 | |
| Ajax v Groningen | 3–1 | |
| Groningen v Ajax | 2–3 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.87 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.60 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.66 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.66 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.21 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 65% | 1.53 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.88 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.46 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.58 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.99 |