Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Sparta Rotterdam stats & fixtures · Willem II stats & fixtures
Sparta Rotterdam beat Willem II 3–2 in the Eredivisie on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.46–1.24. Willem II had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sparta Rotterdam 57%, the draw 23% and Willem II 20%.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 3.46 Expected goals (xG) 1.24
- 22 Total shots 13
- 8 Shots on target 4
- 11 Shots off target 6
- 3 Blocked shots 3
- 18 Shots inside the box 7
- 3 Corners 4
- 12 Fouls 12
- 4 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 383 Passes 395
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 17' Goal T. Vilhena Willem II
- 39' Goal J. Toornstra Sparta Rotterdam
- 41' Yellow card F. Stam Willem II
- 50' Goal L. Martes Sparta Rotterdam
- 57' Goal M. Zonneveld (assist J. Toornstra) Sparta Rotterdam
- 59' Yellow card Sparta Rotterdam
- 68' Goal Uriel van Aalst (assist V. van Crooij) Willem II
- 70' Yellow card V. van Crooij Willem II
- 70' Yellow card L. Martes Sparta Rotterdam
- 75' Yellow card T. Verheydt Willem II
- 78' Yellow card A. Roaldsøy Sparta Rotterdam
- 85' Yellow card M. Zonneveld Sparta Rotterdam
- 88' Yellow card B. Kuipers Sparta Rotterdam
- 90+3' Yellow card O. Martin Willem II
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 57%Sparta Rotterdam fair odds 1.77
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.34
- 20%Willem II fair odds 4.90
Most likely score 1-1 (10.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.62 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.25 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.22 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.64 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.57 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.0
Sparta Rotterdam 6.2 · Willem II 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 10.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 11.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 12.5 | 32% | 68% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Sparta Rotterdam 1.3 · Willem II 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 9.9
Sparta Rotterdam 6.3 · Willem II 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (309 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.6%
- 2–1 10.3%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 1–0 7.4%
- 3–1 6.7%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 3–0 5.6%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Sparta Rotterdam
Bench J. Baas , F. Bednarek , Joel Ideho , Andrej Kostić, P. Kuiper , Teo Quintero , B. Reith , A. Roaldsøy , C. Terho , M. van Bergen , G. Vianello
Willem II
Bench A. Ciranni , T. Verheydt , Per van Loon , J. Schuurman , O. Martin , Jens Mathijsen , M. Lemmens , E. Gürbüz , A. Et-Taïbi , K. de Leeuw , K. Boogaard , Tygo Kotte , L. Maal
Out and doubtful
- M. van Bergen Sparta Rotterdam Out — Inactive
- S. Mito Sparta Rotterdam Out — Injury
- A. Culum Willem II Out — Foot Injury
- A. Lachkar Willem II Out — Groin Injury
- J. Hoogma Willem II Out — Knee Injury
- T. Didillon Hodl Willem II Out — Hamstring Injury
- W. van der Steen Willem II Out — Inactive
- K. Boogaard Willem II Doubtful — Knock
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Sparta Rotterdam at home
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Willem II away
0–1–4 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 3.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 5
- Corners
- 2.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.6 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Willem II v Sparta Rotterdam | 3–1 | |
| Sparta Rotterdam v Willem II | 4–0 | |
| Willem II v Sparta Rotterdam | 1–2 | |
| Willem II v Sparta Rotterdam | 2–4 | |
| Willem II v Sparta Rotterdam | 0–3 | |
| Willem II v Sparta Rotterdam | 0–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.30 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.59 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 43% | 2.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.06 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.09 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.90 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.95 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.67 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.23 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.06 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.63 |