ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven match stats & report
2–1 Full time
ADO Den Haag stats & fixtures · PSV Eindhoven stats & fixtures
ADO Den Haag beat PSV Eindhoven 2–1 in the Eredivisie on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.43–1.21. ADO Den Haag had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave ADO Den Haag 10%, the draw 15% and PSV Eindhoven 75%.
ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 1.43 Expected goals (xG) 1.21
- 16 Total shots 15
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 8 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 12 Shots inside the box 11
- 3 Corners 2
- 20 Fouls 9
- 1 Offsides 5
- 3 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 1
- 473 Passes 428
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 21' Goal S. Mijnans (assist G. Til) PSV Eindhoven
- 38' Yellow card S. Mijnans PSV Eindhoven
- 42' Yellow card S. Sylla ADO Den Haag
- 43' Red card S. Mijnans PSV Eindhoven
- 55' Goal J. Kilo (assist Y. Eduardo) ADO Den Haag
- 69' Yellow card O. Raterink ADO Den Haag
- 73' Yellow card P. Mulder ADO Den Haag
- 90+3' Goal M. Sin (assist E. Rottier) ADO Den Haag
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 10%ADO Den Haag fair odds 9.74
- 15%Draw fair odds 6.85
- 75%PSV Eindhoven fair odds 1.33
Most likely score 1-2 (9.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98% | 1.02 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2% | 43.76 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8% | 12.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.85 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
ADO Den Haag 3.9 · PSV Eindhoven 6.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.1
ADO Den Haag 1.4 · PSV Eindhoven 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% |
Expected shots on target: 11.4
ADO Den Haag 3.3 · PSV Eindhoven 8.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 10.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 11.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 12.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 13.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (309 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–2 9.2%
- 1–3 8.6%
- 0–2 7.8%
- 0–3 7.3%
- 1–4 6.0%
- 1–1 6.0%
- 0–4 5.1%
- 2–3 5.1%
Team news & lineups
ADO Den Haag
Bench Finn de Bruin , D. van Mieghem , Illaijh de Ruijter , J. Hawkins , M. Jimenez , Caleb Kramer, C. Peupion , Alejandro Pozo, O. Raterink , M. Sin , N. Thiede , N. Thomas
PSV Eindhoven
Bench T. Smolenaars , I. Perišić , N. Olij , Yarek Gasiorowski , R. Flamingo , N. Fernandez , S. Cornecion , M. Bro Hansen , A. Bouhamdi , E. Bajraktarevic
Out and doubtful
- M. Hokke ADO Den Haag Out — Red Card
- J. Schouten PSV Eindhoven Out — Knee Injury
- K. Sildillia PSV Eindhoven Out — Surgery
- P. Wanner PSV Eindhoven Out — Foot Injury
- R. Pepi PSV Eindhoven Out — Injury
- C. Peupion ADO Den Haag Out — Knee Injury
- D. Barany ADO Den Haag Out — Thigh Injury
- L. Reischl ADO Den Haag Out — Groin Injury
- A. Nagalo PSV Eindhoven Out — Injury
- A. Plea PSV Eindhoven Out — Surgery
- S. Lammers PSV Eindhoven Out — Lacking Match Fitness
- S. Ouaissa PSV Eindhoven Out — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
ADO Den Haag at home
1–2–2 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 5
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.5 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
PSV Eindhoven away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 25% | 4.02 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.25 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 45% | 2.20 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 55% | 1.83 |
| Home/Away double chance | 85% | 1.17 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.72 |
| Away clean sheet | 32% | 3.09 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.02 |
| Home clean sheet | 5% | 19.80 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 4% | 25.02 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 10% | 9.74 |