Excelsior vs Groningen match stats & report
1–5 Full time
Excelsior lost to Groningen 1–5 in the Eredivisie on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.81–2.77. Groningen had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Excelsior 44%, the draw 25% and Groningen 31%.
Excelsior vs Groningen match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 1.81 Expected goals (xG) 2.77
- 16 Total shots 14
- 2 Shots on target 9
- 6 Shots off target 1
- 8 Blocked shots 4
- 11 Shots inside the box 13
- 3 Corners 6
- 10 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 417 Passes 446
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 7' Goal M. Rente Groningen
- 20' Yellow card D. van der Werff Groningen
- 36' Penalty scored I. Yegoian Excelsior
- 38' Own goal S. van Gassel Groningen
- 64' Penalty scored T. van Bergen Groningen
- 67' Goal B. Willumsson (assist P. Clement) Groningen
- 80' Yellow card T. Land Groningen
- 90+5' Goal M. Rente Groningen
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Excelsior fair odds 2.29
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.98
- 31%Groningen fair odds 3.21
Most likely score 1-1 (11.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.68 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.50 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.16 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.60 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: No | 36% | 2.76 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Excelsior 4.8 · Groningen 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 2.8
Excelsior 1.2 · Groningen 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 3.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 4.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.8
Excelsior 4.6 · Groningen 5.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (304 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.4%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 1–2 7.6%
- 2–0 6.4%
- 2–2 6.3%
- 1–0 6.1%
- 0–0 5.4%
- 3–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Excelsior
Bench Celton Biai , A. Jahanbakhsh , I. Silva Timas , V. Sulzbacher , O. Turay , D. van Vianen , N. Groen , Mario Domínguez , Giulliano Cairo , K. Bos
Groningen
Bench M. Csinger , Nils Eggens , J. Hall , T. Land , R. Metu , J. Mosselaar , A. Nordin , W. Prins , O. Zawada , L. Štubljar , P. Boevink
Out and doubtful
- T. Hernes Groningen Out — Injury
- T. Mercera Groningen Out — Injury
- N. Naujoks Excelsior Out — Injury
- E. van der Laan Groningen Out — Injury
- M. Jeng Groningen Out — Leg Injury
- N. Brandis Groningen Out — Injury
- W. Prins Groningen Out — Inactive
- R. Metu Groningen Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Excelsior at home
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Groningen away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Excelsior vs Groningen head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Groningen v Excelsior | 2–3 | |
| Excelsior v Groningen | 0–2 | |
| Groningen v Excelsior | 3–0 | |
| Excelsior v Groningen | 1–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.23 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 52% | 1.94 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 4.00 |
| Home clean sheet | 24% | 4.21 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.21 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.61 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.64 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.67 |