Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya prediction & stats
Spartak Kostroma stats & fixtures · Volna Nizhegorodskaya stats & fixtures
Spartak Kostroma take on Volna Nizhegorodskaya in the Cup (Regions Path - Final) on 3 November 2026. The Ghost makes Spartak Kostroma favourites at 59%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–0, at 15.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 39%.
Spartak Kostroma vs Volna Nizhegorodskaya prediction
The Ghost: Spartak Kostroma to win, 59%
- 59%Spartak Kostroma fair odds 1.70
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.61
- 14%Volna Nizhegorodskaya fair odds 7.40
Most likely score 1-0 (15.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Spartak Kostroma to score about 0.9 more and playing at home is worth roughly 25% in this competition.
Low confidence — The Ghost and the market disagree sharply here. Where they have, the result has sided with the market more often than with the Ghost.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Spartak Kostroma
Attack 1.23 · Defence 0.59
Last five: DLWWL, scored 7, conceded 6
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Attack 0.84 · Defence 0.81
Last five: DWDDD, scored 6, conceded 5
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.00× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- A final. Not measured, so it does not move the numbers. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-0 (16%). Confidence: Low.
Flags and warnings
- Spartak Kostroma has a new coach, Evgeniy Taranukhin, for its last 3 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Spartak Kostroma attack scores 23% more than average, against Volna Nizhegorodskaya defence, which lets in 19% fewer than average: 1.49 goals (an average side here: 1.49)
- Volna Nizhegorodskaya attack scores 16% less than average, against Spartak Kostroma defence, which lets in 41% fewer than average: 0.75 goals (an average side here: 1.49)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Spartak Kostroma 1.59, Volna Nizhegorodskaya 0.65.
Ratings from 113 matches for Spartak Kostroma and 86 for Volna Nizhegorodskaya, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Both teams have scored in 2 of Volna Nizhegorodskaya’s last 10.
- Volna Nizhegorodskaya have kept 7 clean sheets in 10.
- Volna Nizhegorodskaya score 1.5 a game — 76th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.33 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 13.10 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.25 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 39% | 2.55 |
| Both teams to score: No | 61% | 1.65 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 15.6%
- 2–0 13.5%
- 1–1 12.4%
- 0–0 12.1%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 3–0 7.2%
- 0–1 5.5%
- 3–1 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Spartak Kostroma
- — K. Malyarov —
- — N. Demchenko —
- 50 E. Shamov —
- 5 D. Zhilmostnykh —
- 2 N. Tarasov —
- 18 V. Kamilov —
- 70 R. Chervyakov Midfielder
- 96 A. Mokhammad Defender
- 11 D. Ghurtskaia Attacker
- 73 D. Kirakosyan Midfielder
- 13 I. Rubtsov —
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
No lineup published yet.
Form guide
Spartak Kostroma at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.0 per game
Volna Nizhegorodskaya away
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 7 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Home clean sheet | 52% | 1.91 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 41% | 2.43 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 33% | 3.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.68 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 4.90 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 14% | 7.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.40 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 26.16 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 35.89 |