AL Masry vs Petrojet prediction, stats & H2H
AL Masry take on Petrojet in the League Cup (Group Stage - 2) on 4 November 2026. The Ghost makes AL Masry favourites at 46%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 52%.
AL Masry vs Petrojet prediction
The Ghost: AL Masry to win, 46%
- 46%AL Masry fair odds 2.20
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.43
- 25%Petrojet fair odds 3.95
Most likely score 1-1 (13.9%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects AL Masry to score about 0.4 more and this competition has almost no home advantage.
High confidence — Fitted on 1804 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
AL Masry
Attack 1.30 · Defence 0.73
Last five: DDDWL, scored 4, conceded 5
Petrojet
Attack 1.40 · Defence 0.95
Last five: DLDWW, scored 7, conceded 7
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.07× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 4 meetings: AL Masry won 1, 0 drawn, Petrojet won 3. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- AL Masry has had 3 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (14%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
- AL Masry has a new coach, Ahmed Samy, for its last 6 matches. Measured across 1,050 changes: no bounce or slump the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- AL Masry attack scores 30% more than average, against Petrojet defence, which lets in 5% fewer than average: 1.44 goals (an average side here: 1.17)
- Petrojet attack scores 40% more than average, against AL Masry defence, which lets in 27% fewer than average: 1.11 goals (an average side here: 1.09)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on AL Masry 1.49, Petrojet 1.06.
Ratings from 78 matches for AL Masry and 102 for Petrojet, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Petrojet score 1.3 a game — 70th percentile in this competition.
- AL Masry have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
- Petrojet have kept 2 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.95 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.64 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.83 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.09 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
AL Masry 5.4 · Petrojet 3.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (273 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.9%
- 1–0 10.0%
- 0–0 9.4%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 2–0 8.7%
- 0–1 6.7%
- 1–2 6.5%
- 2–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
AL Masry
- 7 Karim El Eraki —
- 2 B. El Mohamady —
- 3 Mohamed Shokry —
- 27 A. Ziani —
- 30 A. Deghmoum —
- 6 Mohamed Makhlouf —
- 9 Salah Mohsen Attacker
- 33 Mostafa Al Aash Defender
- 26 Mohamed El Sayed Goalkeeper
- 8 Hassan Ali —
- 23 Hussein Faisal —
Petrojet
- 17 Adham Hamed Midfielder
- 11 Mohamed Ibrahim Dodo Midfielder
- 25 Barakat Haggag Defender
- 1 Omar Salah Goalkeeper
- 40 Youssef Abdel-Tawab Defender
- 15 Ahmed Bahbah Attacker
- 3 Islam Abdallah Defender
- 4 Mahmoud Shedid Kenawi Defender
- 9 Badr Moussa Midfielder
- 19 Mostafa El Badry Attacker
- 8 Mohamed Osman Midfielder
Form guide
AL Masry at home
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Petrojet away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
AL Masry vs Petrojet head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Petrojet v AL Masry | 2–1 | |
| AL Masry v Petrojet | 2–3 | |
| AL Masry v Petrojet | 4–0 | |
| Petrojet v AL Masry | 2–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 54% | 1.84 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.20 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.89 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.49 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.95 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.25 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.44 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.29 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.85 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.92 |
No bookmaker prices this competition, so there's nothing to compare the Ghost against.