Masr vs El Geish prediction, stats & H2H
Masr take on El Geish in the League Cup (Group Stage - 2) on 4 November 2026. The Ghost makes Masr favourites at 48%, with the draw at 33%. The likeliest score is 1–0, at 16.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 30% and both teams scoring at 37%.
Masr vs El Geish prediction
The Ghost: Masr to win, 48%
- 48%Masr fair odds 2.09
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.01
- 19%El Geish fair odds 5.25
Most likely score 1-0 (16.5%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Masr to score about 0.5 more and this competition has almost no home advantage. It projects as a tight, low-scoring match.
High confidence — Fitted on 1804 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Masr
Attack 1.25 · Defence 0.76
Last five: LLWDD, scored 6, conceded 7
El Geish
Attack 0.91 · Defence 0.80
Last five: DLLLD, scored 2, conceded 9
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.07× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: Masr won 2, 2 drawn, El Geish won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-0 (16%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Masr attack scores 25% more than average, against El Geish defence, which lets in 20% fewer than average: 1.17 goals (an average side here: 1.17)
- El Geish attack scores 9% less than average, against Masr defence, which lets in 24% fewer than average: 0.75 goals (an average side here: 1.09)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Masr 1.23, El Geish 0.69.
Ratings from 84 matches for Masr and 82 for El Geish, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- El Geish score 0.5 a game — 10th percentile in this competition.
- Masr score 1.7 a game — 85th percentile in this competition.
- El Geish win 5.3 corners a game — 85th percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.31 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% | 7.76 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 21.84 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 16% | 6.15 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 37% | 2.71 |
| Both teams to score: No | 63% | 1.58 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Masr 4.5 · El Geish 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (273 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 16.5%
- 0–0 16.3%
- 1–1 14.0%
- 2–0 11.1%
- 0–1 8.4%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 3–0 4.6%
- 1–2 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Masr
No lineup published yet.
El Geish
- 30 Mohamed Atef Midfielder
- 4 Mohamed Fathallah Defender
- 8 Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola Defender
- 11 Karim Tarek Midfielder
- 25 Ahmed Tarek Midfielder
- 12 Islam Mohareb Attacker
- 6 Khaled Stouhi Defender
- 21 Khaled Abo Ziada Defender
- 22 Mostafa Khawaga Midfielder
- 24 Z. Mohamed Defender
- 1 Omar Radwan Goalkeeper
Form guide
Masr at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
41% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
El Geish away
1–5–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Masr vs El Geish head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| El Geish v Masr | 0–1 | |
| Masr v El Geish | 1–0 | |
| El Geish v Masr | 2–2 | |
| Masr v El Geish | 0–0 | |
| El Geish v Masr | 1–0 | |
| Masr v El Geish | 0–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.50 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home clean sheet | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 50% | 2.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.09 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.86 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.43 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.45 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 19% | 5.25 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 15% | 6.61 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.82 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 17.53 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 30.69 |
No bookmaker prices this competition, so there's nothing to compare the Ghost against.