Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction & stats
Monterrey stats & fixtures · Guadalajara Chivas stats & fixtures
Monterrey take on Guadalajara Chivas in Liga MX (Apertura - 14) on 25 October 2026. The Ghost makes Guadalajara Chivas favourites at 39%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction
- 32%Monterrey fair odds 3.09
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.52
- 39%Guadalajara Chivas fair odds 2.55
Most likely score 1-1 (13.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.52 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.34 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.18 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.27 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.27 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.2
Monterrey 4.3 · Guadalajara Chivas 5.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Monterrey 1.9 · Guadalajara Chivas 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
Monterrey 4.7 · Guadalajara Chivas 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (329 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.5%
- 1–2 8.8%
- 0–0 8.2%
- 0–1 8.2%
- 2–1 7.8%
- 1–0 7.1%
- 0–2 6.9%
- 2–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Monterrey
- 99 H. Cuypers Attacker
- 17 J. Corona Midfielder
- 8 Óliver Torres Midfielder
- 1 E. Andrada Goalkeeper
- 2 R. Chávez Defender
- 13 C. Salcedo Defender
- 18 Cesar Garza Cantu Defender
- 3 G. Arteaga Defender
- 4 V. Guzmán Defender
- 25 O. Pineda Midfielder
- 9 D. Rossi Midfielder
Guadalajara Chivas
- 23 D. Aguirre Defender
- 28 R. González Midfielder
- 3 D. Campillo Defender
- 1 J. Rangel Goalkeeper
- 25 R. Alvarado Midfielder
- 11 B. Gutiérrez Midfielder
- 9 Á. Sepúlveda Attacker
- 30 Santiago Sandoval Midfielder
- 182 L. Calderon Midfielder
- 16 L. Rey Defender
- 17 R. Marín Attacker
Form guide
Monterrey at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.7 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Guadalajara Chivas away
2–7–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas | 2–3 | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Monterrey | 4–2 | |
| Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas | 3–1 | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Monterrey | 1–1 | |
| Monterrey v Guadalajara Chivas | 0–2 | |
| Guadalajara Chivas v Monterrey | 1–2 |
The full Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.40 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.48 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 61% | 1.65 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.41 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.55 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.09 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.57 |
| Home clean sheet | 24% | 4.13 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.20 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.84 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.78 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.28 |