CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction & stats

Liga MX · Mexico · Apertura - 13 · Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

CF Pachuca stats & fixtures · Cruz Azul stats & fixtures

CF Pachuca take on Cruz Azul in Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Cruz Azul favourites at 41%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 59%.

CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals79%1.26
Over 2.5 goals54%1.84
Over 3.5 goals32%3.15
Over 4.5 goals16%6.27
Under 0.5 goals7%13.93
Under 1.5 goals21%4.79
Under 2.5 goals46%2.19
Under 3.5 goals68%1.46
Under 4.5 goals84%1.19
Both teams to score: Yes59%1.71
Both teams to score: No41%2.41

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.2

CF Pachuca 5.1 · Cruz Azul 5.1

Total cornersOverUnder
8.567%33%
9.556%44%
10.544%56%
11.534%66%
12.524%76%

Expected cards: 4.6

CF Pachuca 2.4 · Cruz Azul 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
2.582%18%
3.566%34%
4.548%52%
5.531%69%
6.519%81%

Expected shots on target: 9.5

CF Pachuca 4.0 · Cruz Azul 5.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.571%29%
8.559%41%
9.547%53%
10.535%65%
11.525%75%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (329 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.9%
  2. 1–2 9.1%
  3. 2–1 7.7%
  4. 0–1 7.5%
  5. 0–0 7.2%
  6. 0–2 6.9%
  7. 1–0 6.2%
  8. 2–2 5.7%

Team news & lineups

CF Pachuca

Probable — not confirmed

Cruz Azul

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

CF Pachuca at home

4–3–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.9 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
5.7 per game
Shots on target
5.6 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Cruz Azul away

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.7 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 10
Corners
5.9 per game
Shots on target
6.8 per game

28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Cruz Azul v CF Pachuca 1–2
CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul 0–1
Cruz Azul v CF Pachuca 2–1
CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul 2–4
Cruz Azul v CF Pachuca 0–1
CF Pachuca v Cruz Azul 1–0

The full CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 86% 1.17
Home +1.5 handicap 79% 1.27
Away Over 0.5 team goals 78% 1.28
Home Over 0.5 team goals 73% 1.37
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.37
Draw/Away double chance 69% 1.46
Away +0.5 handicap 69% 1.46
Home/Draw double chance 59% 1.71
Home +0.5 handicap 59% 1.71
Away Over 1.5 team goals 45% 2.20
Away -0.5 handicap 41% 2.41
Home Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.65
Home -0.5 handicap 31% 3.19
Away clean sheet 27% 3.71
Home clean sheet 22% 4.62
Away -1.5 handicap 21% 4.73
Away Over 2.5 team goals 20% 5.02
Home Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.82
Home -1.5 handicap 14% 6.92