Puebla vs Monterrey prediction & stats
Puebla take on Monterrey in Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Monterrey favourites at 44%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Puebla vs Monterrey prediction
- 27%Puebla fair odds 3.68
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.48
- 44%Monterrey fair odds 2.27
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.85 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.32 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.09 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 3.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.14 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.8
Puebla 4.8 · Monterrey 6.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Puebla 2.3 · Monterrey 1.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Puebla 4.5 · Monterrey 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (329 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 0–1 9.7%
- 1–2 9.3%
- 0–0 9.0%
- 0–2 8.2%
- 2–1 6.8%
- 1–0 6.8%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Puebla
- 7 F. Monárrez Defender
- 27 B. Garnica Midfielder
- 28 R. Gutiérrez Goalkeeper
- 5 F. Almada Defender
- 4 J. Vargas Defender
- 24 A. Organista Midfielder
- 10 M. Tomás Midfielder
- 12 I. Moreno Defender
- 8 O. Moreno Attacker
- 9 L. Hernández Attacker
- 16 A. Ramírez Midfielder
Monterrey
- 99 H. Cuypers Attacker
- 17 J. Corona Midfielder
- 8 Óliver Torres Midfielder
- 1 E. Andrada Goalkeeper
- 2 R. Chávez Defender
- 13 C. Salcedo Defender
- 18 Cesar Garza Cantu Defender
- 3 G. Arteaga Defender
- 4 V. Guzmán Defender
- 25 O. Pineda Midfielder
- 9 D. Rossi Midfielder
Form guide
Puebla at home
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Monterrey away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Puebla vs Monterrey head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Monterrey v Puebla | 2–1 | |
| Puebla v Monterrey | 2–4 | |
| Monterrey v Puebla | 1–1 | |
| Puebla v Monterrey | 1–2 | |
| Monterrey v Puebla | 2–0 | |
| Puebla v Monterrey | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.79 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.27 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.05 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.26 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.68 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.35 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.51 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.48 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.75 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.66 |