Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC prediction, stats & H2H
Independiente del Valle stats & fixtures · Delfin SC stats & fixtures
Independiente del Valle take on Delfin SC in the Copa Ecuador (Semi-finals) on 6 November 2026. The Ghost makes Independiente del Valle favourites at 84%, with the draw at 13%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 15.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 34%.
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC prediction
The Ghost: Independiente del Valle to win, 84%
- 84%Independiente del Valle fair odds 1.19
- 13%Draw fair odds 7.94
- 3%Delfin SC fair odds 29.42
Most likely score 2-0 (15.6%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects Independiente del Valle to score about 2.3 more and playing at home is worth roughly 37% in this competition.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 1524 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Independiente del Valle
Attack 2.35 · Defence 0.48
Last five: WWDLW, scored 7, conceded 2
Delfin SC
Attack 1.16 · Defence 0.69
Last five: WLLWW, scored 10, conceded 12
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.37× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: Independiente del Valle won 3, 2 drawn, Delfin SC won 1. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 2-0 (16%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Independiente del Valle attack scores 135% more than average, against Delfin SC defence, which lets in 31% fewer than average: 2.52 goals (an average side here: 1.55)
- Delfin SC attack scores 16% more than average, against Independiente del Valle defence, which lets in 52% fewer than average: 0.63 goals (an average side here: 1.13)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Independiente del Valle 2.71, Delfin SC 0.45.
Ratings from 122 matches for Independiente del Valle and 113 for Delfin SC, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- Independiente del Valle win 6.3 corners a game — 94th percentile in this competition.
- Independiente del Valle score 1.7 a game — 83rd percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.72 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 34% | 2.90 |
| Both teams to score: No | 66% | 1.53 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Independiente del Valle 7.2 · Delfin SC 2.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (311 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 15.6%
- 3–0 14.1%
- 1–0 10.8%
- 4–0 9.5%
- 2–1 7.0%
- 3–1 6.3%
- 1–1 5.9%
- 5–0 5.2%
Form guide
Independiente del Valle at home
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Delfin SC away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.6 per game
44% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle | 0–3 | |
| Independiente del Valle v Delfin SC | 3–2 | |
| Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle | 0–1 | |
| Independiente del Valle v Delfin SC | 0–0 | |
| Delfin SC v Independiente del Valle | 1–1 | |
| Independiente del Valle v Delfin SC | 1–2 |
The full Independiente del Valle vs Delfin SC head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 97% | 1.04 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 97% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home/Away double chance | 87% | 1.14 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home clean sheet | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 36% | 2.76 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.82 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.25 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 16% | 6.25 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 8% | 13.26 |
| Away clean sheet | 7% | 14.99 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 3% | 29.42 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 91.99 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 136.81 |