LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica prediction, stats & H2H
LDU de Quito stats & fixtures · Universidad Catolica stats & fixtures
LDU de Quito take on Universidad Catolica in the Copa Ecuador (Semi-finals) on 5 November 2026. The Ghost makes LDU de Quito favourites at 51%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 57%.
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica prediction
The Ghost: LDU de Quito to win, 51%
- 51%LDU de Quito fair odds 1.96
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.79
- 23%Universidad Catolica fair odds 4.41
Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)
Why the Ghost says this
The Ghost expects LDU de Quito to score about 0.6 more and playing at home is worth roughly 37% in this competition.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 1524 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
LDU de Quito
Attack 1.90 · Defence 0.50
Last five: LDLDW, scored 6, conceded 8
Universidad Catolica
Attack 2.10 · Defence 0.57
Last five: LDDWL, scored 5, conceded 6
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.37× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Last 6 meetings: LDU de Quito won 2, 2 drawn, Universidad Catolica won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (13%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- LDU de Quito attack scores 90% more than average, against Universidad Catolica defence, which lets in 43% fewer than average: 1.69 goals (an average side here: 1.55)
- Universidad Catolica attack scores 110% more than average, against LDU de Quito defence, which lets in 50% fewer than average: 1.19 goals (an average side here: 1.13)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on LDU de Quito 1.76, Universidad Catolica 1.12.
Ratings from 121 matches for LDU de Quito and 120 for Universidad Catolica, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- LDU de Quito win 6.3 corners a game — 88th percentile in this competition.
- LDU de Quito score 1.7 a game — 83rd percentile in this competition.
- Universidad Catolica score 1.2 a game — 81st percentile in this competition.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.16 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.33 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.4
LDU de Quito 5.7 · Universidad Catolica 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (311 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.5%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 2–0 8.7%
- 1–0 8.5%
- 0–0 7.1%
- 1–2 6.2%
- 3–1 5.7%
- 2–2 5.4%
Team news & lineups
LDU de Quito
- 57 M. Weigandt Midfielder
- 23 Yerlin Quinonez Midfielder
- 20 F. Cornejo Midfielder
- 1 G. Valle Goalkeeper
- 30 G. Allala Defender
- 8 J. Pretell Midfielder
- 7 L. Rodríguez Midfielder
- 13 J. Corozo Attacker
- 11 M. Estrada Attacker
- 33 Leonel Enrique Quiñónez Padilla Defender
- 4 Ricardo Ade Defender
Universidad Catolica
No lineup published yet.
Form guide
LDU de Quito at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.5 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Universidad Catolica away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito | 2–2 | |
| LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica | 2–1 | |
| Universidad Catolica v LDU de Quito | 1–0 | |
| LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica | 1–1 | |
| LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica | 2–0 | |
| LDU de Quito v Universidad Catolica | 2–3 |
The full LDU de Quito vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.96 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.06 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.25 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.45 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.86 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.41 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.82 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.69 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 10.84 |