Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction & stats
Tigres UANL stats & fixtures · Leon stats & fixtures
Tigres UANL take on Leon in Liga MX (Apertura - 13) on 21 October 2026. The Ghost makes Tigres UANL favourites at 58%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction
- 58%Tigres UANL fair odds 1.73
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.09
- 18%Leon fair odds 5.65
Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.17 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.32 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.31 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.74 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.18 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Tigres UANL 6.7 · Leon 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 11.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.7
Tigres UANL 2.2 · Leon 2.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 10.2
Tigres UANL 6.2 · Leon 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (329 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.7%
- 2–1 10.4%
- 2–0 10.3%
- 1–0 9.9%
- 0–0 7.0%
- 3–1 6.3%
- 3–0 6.2%
- 1–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Tigres UANL
- 15 A. Franco Defender
- 28 Joaquim Defender
- 1 N. Guzmán Goalkeeper
- 11 J. Brunetta Midfielder
- 19 M. Laínez Defender
- 8 F. Gorriarán Midfielder
- 33 R. Guerrero Defender
- 16 D. Lainez Midfielder
- 5 C. Araújo Midfielder
- 30 D. Sánchez Midfielder
- 17 R. Aguirre Attacker
Leon
- 7 I. Moreno Defender
- 14 J. Romaña Defender
- 27 D. Cambindo Attacker
- 3 Juan José Guevara Possu Defender
- 29 J. Rodríguez Midfielder
- 203 J. Lara Midfielder
- 26 S. Reyes Defender
- 13 D. Arcila Midfielder
- 23 Ó. García Goalkeeper
- 18 E. Guerra Midfielder
- 20 R. Echeverría Midfielder
Form guide
Tigres UANL at home
7–3–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Leon away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.5 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Tigres UANL vs Leon head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Leon v Tigres UANL | 1–2 | |
| Tigres UANL v Leon | 0–0 | |
| Leon v Tigres UANL | 1–0 | |
| Tigres UANL v Leon | 2–2 | |
| Leon v Tigres UANL | 1–2 | |
| Tigres UANL v Leon | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.96 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.50 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 42% | 2.37 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 3.93 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.65 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.85 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 13.13 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.65 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.60 |