Monterrey vs CF Pachuca prediction & stats

Liga MX · Mexico · Apertura - 12 · Estadio BBVA, Monterrey · Ref Cesar Arturo Ramos

Monterrey stats & fixtures · CF Pachuca stats & fixtures

Monterrey take on CF Pachuca in Liga MX (Apertura - 12) on 19 October 2026. The Ghost makes Monterrey favourites at 46%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%.

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.08
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals52%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%3.36
Over 4.5 goals15%6.87
Under 0.5 goals8%12.95
Under 1.5 goals22%4.47
Under 2.5 goals48%2.09
Under 3.5 goals70%1.42
Under 4.5 goals85%1.17
Both teams to score: Yes56%1.78
Both teams to score: No44%2.29

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.1

Monterrey 5.7 · CF Pachuca 4.5

Total cornersOverUnder
8.567%33%
9.555%45%
10.543%57%
11.533%67%
12.524%76%

Expected cards: 4.8

Monterrey 1.9 · CF Pachuca 3.0

Total cardsOverUnder
2.585%15%
3.570%30%
4.552%48%
5.535%65%
6.522%78%

Expected shots on target: 9.5

Monterrey 5.6 · CF Pachuca 3.9

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.572%28%
8.560%40%
9.548%52%
10.536%64%
11.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (329 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.0%
  2. 2–1 9.6%
  3. 1–0 8.8%
  4. 2–0 8.1%
  5. 0–0 7.7%
  6. 1–2 6.8%
  7. 0–1 5.9%
  8. 2–2 5.3%

Team news & lineups

Monterrey

Probable — not confirmed

CF Pachuca

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Monterrey at home

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.9 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
7.1 per game
Shots on target
7.7 per game

18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

CF Pachuca away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
3.7 per game

36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Monterrey vs CF Pachuca head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Monterrey v CF Pachuca 1–3
CF Pachuca v Monterrey 3–0
Monterrey v CF Pachuca 1–2
Monterrey v CF Pachuca 2–3
CF Pachuca v Monterrey 0–1
Monterrey v CF Pachuca 3–2

The full Monterrey vs CF Pachuca head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away -0.5 handicap 27% 3.74
Away clean sheet 20% 4.89
Away +0.5 handicap 54% 1.85
Draw/Away double chance 54% 1.85
Away +1.5 handicap 76% 1.32
Away Over 1.5 team goals 33% 3.06
Away -1.5 handicap 12% 8.69
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.68
Away Over 0.5 team goals 69% 1.45
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.38
Home Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.26
Home/Draw double chance 73% 1.36
Home +0.5 handicap 73% 1.36
Home clean sheet 31% 3.22
Home -0.5 handicap 46% 2.18
Home Over 1.5 team goals 47% 2.12
Home -1.5 handicap 24% 4.15
Home Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.71
Home +1.5 handicap 88% 1.13